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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Alaves
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
1,9
1,6
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 17. · Eibar 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 13 10 2 1 +21 32
2 Real Madrid 15 10 2 3 +13 32
3 Sociedad 16 7 5 4 +13 26
4 Villarreal 15 6 8 1 +6 26
5 Barcelona 14 7 3 4 +14 24
6 Sevilla 13 7 2 4 +5 23
7 Granada 14 6 3 5 -5 21
8 Celta 15 5 5 5 -1 20
9 Ath Bilbao 15 5 3 7 +0 18
10 Cadiz 14 5 3 6 -8 18
11 Getafe 14 4 5 5 -3 17
12 Betis 14 5 1 8 -11 16
13 Valencia 15 3 6 6 -1 15
14 Levante 14 3 6 5 -2 15
15 Eibar 14 3 6 5 -3 15
16 Elche 13 3 6 4 -4 15
17 Alaves 14 3 5 6 -5 14
18 Valladolid 15 3 5 7 -9 14
19 Huesca 15 1 9 5 -10 12
20 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Eibar
4′
Pedro León 0–1
Edgar Mendez 🟨
38′
1–1 Edgar Méndez
Luis Rioja
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Kévin Rodrigues
↦ Pedro León
46′
🔁 P. Diop
↦ Sergio Álvarez
2–1 Deyverson
Joselu
47′
Rodrigo Battaglia 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 Recio
↦ T. Inui
Tomás Pina 🟨
62′
Martín Aguirregabiria 🔁
↦ Edgar Méndez
73′
Manu García 🔁
↦ R. Battaglia
73′
77′
🔁 Unai Arieta
↦ Edu Expósito
80′
🟨 Bryan Gil
84′
🔁 Quique González
↦ E. Burgos
88′
🟨 Unai Arieta
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
89′
Adrián Marín 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
89′
Jota Peleteiro 🔁
↦ Rubén Duarte
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
16 Edgar Méndez M
8 Pina M
6 R. Battaglia M
9 Joselu F
14 Deyverson F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (11)
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
19 Manu García
17 Adrián Marín
24 Jota Peleteiro
13 Sivera
26 Javi López
37 Tomás Tavares
29 Borja Sainz
10 J. Guidetti
7 Lucas Pérez
2 Alberto Rodríguez

Coach: Pablo Machín

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
3 Bigas D
2 E. Burgos D
14 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (9)
24 Kévin Rodrigues
8 P. Diop
18 Recio
32 Unai Arieta
7 Quique González
16 Roberto Olabe
13 Yoel
29 Unai Dufur
11 Rafa

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
U
2,93
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,70
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.