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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Celta
U S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Betis
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
21%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
36%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
45%
70%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 17. · Betis 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 33 22 8 3 +40 74
2 Barcelona 33 21 7 5 +39 70
3 Ath Madrid 34 16 14 4 +21 62
4 Sevilla 33 15 12 6 +15 57
5 Villarreal 33 16 6 11 +13 54
6 Getafe 33 14 10 9 +11 52
7 Sociedad 33 15 5 13 +8 50
8 Ath Bilbao 33 12 12 9 +10 48
9 Granada 33 13 7 13 +2 46
10 Valencia 33 12 10 11 -7 46
11 Osasuna 33 11 11 11 -7 44
12 Levante 33 12 6 15 -5 42
13 Betis 33 9 10 14 -11 37
14 Valladolid 33 7 15 11 -10 36
15 Eibar 33 9 8 16 -16 35
16 Alaves 33 9 8 16 -18 35
17 Celta 33 7 13 13 -10 34
18 Mallorca 34 8 5 21 -24 29
19 Leganes 33 5 10 18 -25 25
20 Espanol 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Betis
21′
🟨 A. Moreno
1–0 Nolito
22′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 A. Moreno
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
F. Smolov 🔁
↦ B. Mendez
54′
54′
🟨 A. Mandi
57′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ C. Tello
57′
🔁 C. Alena
↦ Joaquin
K. Vazquez 🟨
62′
K. Vazquez 🔁
↦ H. Mallo
62′
I. Aspas 🟨
64′
72′
🟨 C. Tello
75′
🟨 S. Canales
I. Aspas 🔁
↦ S. Mina
77′
Nolito 🔁
↦ F. Bradaric
77′
F. Beltran 🔁
↦ G. Fernandez
78′
N. Araujo 🟨
78′
79′
Z. Feddal 1–1
S. Canales
O. Yokuslu 🟨
82′
F. Bradaric 🟨
86′
92′
🔁 Loren
↦ B. Iglesias
95′
🟨 A.
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-4-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
21 Jeison Murillo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
10 Iago Aspas M
8 Fran Beltran M
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
3 Nolito M
9 Fedor Smolov F
Bench (12)
40 Dragan Rosić
25 Iván Villar
18 Joseph Aidoo
2 Hugo Mallo
16 Jorge Sáenz
14 Filip Bradarić
23 Brais Méndez
24 Pape Cheikh
19 Gabriel Fernández
7 Juan Hernández García
29 Jacobo
22 Santi Mina

Coach: Óscar García

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
4 Zouhair Feddal D
15 Álex Moreno D
21 Guido Rodríguez M
18 Andrés Guardado M
24 Carles Aleñá M
10 Sergio Canales M
7 Juanmi M
16 Loren Moron F
Bench (12)
13 Dani Martín
12 Sidnei
5 Marc Bartra
32 Edgar Gonzalez
19 Antonio Barragán
20 Diego Lainez
6 Alfonso Pedraza
17 Joaquín
3 Javi García
14 William Carvalho
11 Cristian Tello
9 Borja Iglesias

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,40
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.