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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Ath Bilbao
S U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
23%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
26%
45%
Both score Ø 42%
45%
39%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Mallorca 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 21 5 5 +39 68
2 Real Madrid 31 20 8 3 +38 68
3 Ath Madrid 31 14 13 4 +17 55
4 Sevilla 32 14 12 6 +12 54
5 Getafe 31 13 10 8 +11 49
6 Villarreal 31 14 6 11 +9 48
7 Sociedad 31 14 5 12 +8 47
8 Valencia 31 12 10 9 -3 46
9 Granada 31 12 7 12 +1 43
10 Ath Bilbao 31 10 12 9 +6 42
11 Levante 31 11 5 15 -7 38
12 Osasuna 31 9 11 11 -10 38
13 Betis 31 9 10 12 -7 37
14 Valladolid 32 7 14 11 -10 35
15 Alaves 31 9 8 14 -15 35
16 Celta 31 7 12 12 -6 33
17 Eibar 31 8 8 15 -15 32
18 Mallorca 31 7 5 19 -23 26
19 Leganes 31 5 10 16 -21 25
20 Espanol 31 5 9 17 -24 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -19 Mallorca – Ath Bilbao 0–0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Mallorca
1–0 R. Garcia
16′
2–0 O. Sancet
U. Lopez
24′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ A. Budimir
58′
🔁 L. Junior
↦ A. Trajkovski
I. Muniain 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
62′
66′
🟨 A. Budimir
68′
🔁 Cucho
↦ A. Prats
69′
A. Budimir 2–1
I. Williams 🔁
↦ O. de Marcos
75′
O. Sancet 🔁
↦ A. Villalibre
75′
R. Garcia 🟨
76′
82′
🟨 A. Raillo
R. Garcia 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
84′
U. Lopez 🔁
↦ M. Vesga
84′
87′
🔁 M. Valjent
↦ F. Gamez
3–1 A. Villalibre
M. Vesga
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
8 Unai Lopez M
14 Dani García M
9 Iñaki Williams M
34 Oihan Sancet M
10 Iker Muniain M
22 Raúl García F
Bench (12)
13 Iago Herrerín
15 Íñigo Lekue
18 Óscar de Marcos
24 Mikel Balenziaga
3 Unai Núñez
6 Mikel San José
16 Mikel Vesga
19 Ibai Gómez
11 Inigo Cordoba
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
23 Kenan Kodro
25 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Mallorca

3-5-2
1 Manolo Reina G
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Raillo D
20 Aleksandar Sedlar D
7 Alejandro Pozo M
8 Salva Sevilla M
12 Iddrisu Baba M
14 Dani Rodriguez M
11 Lago Júnior M
26 Takefusa Kubo F
29 Cucho Hernández F
Bench (12)
25 Miguel Parera
27 Jesus Ruiz Suarez
2 Joan Sastre
5 Francisco Javier Campos
15 Fran Gámez
4 Josep Señé
41 Luka Romero
23 Aleix Febas
22 Ante Budimir
17 Aleksandar Trajkovski
19 Pablo Chavarria
9 Abdón Prats

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,11
B
7,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.