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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Real Madrid

U T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Valencia

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

61%

39%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

46%

Both score Ø 57%

46%

68%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 4

14 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Valencia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	20	4	5	+38	64
2	Real Madrid	28	17	8	3	+32	59
3	Sevilla	29	14	9	6	+12	51
4	Ath Madrid	29	12	13	4	+15	49
5	Getafe	29	13	8	8	+11	47
6	Sociedad	29	14	5	10	+10	47
7	Villarreal	29	13	5	11	+8	44
8	Valencia	28	11	10	7	-1	43
9	Granada	29	12	6	11	+2	42
10	Ath Bilbao	29	9	12	8	+6	39
11	Levante	29	10	5	14	-8	35
12	Alaves	29	9	8	12	-8	35
13	Osasuna	29	8	11	10	-9	35
14	Betis	29	8	10	11	-7	34
15	Valladolid	29	7	12	10	-9	33
16	Eibar	29	7	7	15	-16	28
17	Celta	29	5	12	12	-13	27
18	Mallorca	29	7	4	18	-21	25
19	Espanol	29	5	9	15	-21	24
20	Leganes	29	5	8	16	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+35	43
2	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+20	34
3	Valencia	15	8	7	0	+11	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Granada	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	Sociedad	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Alaves	15	7	5	3	+9	26
8	Sevilla	14	7	5	2	+8	26
9	Getafe	15	7	5	3	+8	26
10	Villarreal	14	7	4	3	+10	25
11	Ath Bilbao	14	7	4	3	+8	25
12	Levante	14	7	4	3	+7	25
13	Betis	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Eibar	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Mallorca	15	6	2	7	-2	20
16	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-5	20
17	Valladolid	14	3	8	3	+1	17
18	Celta	14	4	5	5	-3	17
19	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-7	15
20	Espanol	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	7	4	3	+12	25
2	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+4	25
3	Barcelona	14	6	3	5	+3	21
4	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Ath Madrid	15	4	8	3	+4	20
6	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
7	Villarreal	15	6	1	8	-2	19
8	Valladolid	15	4	4	7	-10	16
9	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-4	15
10	Ath Bilbao	15	2	8	5	-2	14
11	Granada	15	3	4	8	-7	13
12	Espanol	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	Celta	15	1	7	7	-10	10
15	Levante	15	3	1	11	-15	10
16	Betis	14	1	6	7	-13	9
17	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Leganes	14	1	5	8	-14	8
19	Eibar	14	1	5	8	-15	8
20	Mallorca	14	1	2	11	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.