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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Getafe
U S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 10. · Ath Bilbao 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 21 16 3 2 +37 51
2 Ath Madrid 22 15 3 4 +21 48
3 Real Madrid 21 13 5 3 +38 44
4 Villarreal 21 12 5 4 +10 41
5 Celta 21 10 4 7 -1 34
6 Eibar 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 Sevilla 21 9 6 6 +6 33
8 Ath Bilbao 21 9 4 8 +2 31
9 La Coruna 21 6 11 4 +3 29
10 Getafe 21 7 5 9 -5 26
11 Valencia 21 5 10 6 +4 25
12 Malaga 21 6 6 9 -3 24
13 Espanol 21 6 4 11 -15 22
14 Betis 21 5 7 9 -15 22
15 Sociedad 21 5 6 10 -9 21
16 Granada 21 5 5 11 -19 20
17 Vallecano 21 5 4 12 -19 19
18 Las Palmas 21 4 6 11 -12 18
19 Sp Gijon 20 5 3 12 -13 18
20 Levante 21 4 5 12 -18 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -15 Ath Bilbao – Getafe 3–1

Match report

Getafe Ath Bilbao
24′
Iñaki Williams 0–1
Balenziaga
Roberto Lago 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
K. Yoda 🔁
↦ Roberto Lago
57′
61′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
63′
🔁 Lekue
↦ Iñaki Williams
Wamberto 🔁
↦ Juan Rodríguez
65′
72′
🟨 Óscar de Marcos
Álvaro Vázquez 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
74′
75′
🔁 A. Laporte
↦ Sabin
Emiliano Velazquez 🟨
76′
79′
🟨 Mikel San José
82′
🔁 Viguera
↦ Eraso
Juan Cala 🟨
90′
Juan Cala 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Beñat Etxebarria
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Getafe

13 Guaita G
19 D. Suárez D
6 Juan Cala D
3 Roberto Lago D
4 E. Velázquez D
22 Juan Rodríguez M
14 Pedro León M
8 M. Lacen M
21 Moi Gómez M
12 S. Šćepović F
18 Víctor Rodríguez M
Bench (7)
11 K. Yoda
30 Wamberto
9 Álvaro Vázquez
1 B. Megyeri
5 S. Vergini
15 Carlos Vigaray
17 B. Mensah

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
16 Etxeita D
18 Gurpegi M
7 Beñat M
10 De Marcos D
5 Eraso M
20 Aduriz F
25 Sabin F
15 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
30 Lekue
4 A. Laporte
21 Viguera
8 Iturraspe
13 Iago Herrerín
14 Susaeta
17 Mikel Rico

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.