Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Wolfsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | +39 | 43 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +16 | 37 |
| 3 |
Hoffenheim
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +12 | 29 |
| 6 |
FC Koln
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |
Union Berlin
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +2 | 28 |
| 8 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | +5 | 24 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 |
Hertha
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 |
Bochum
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 |
Stuttgart
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 |
Augsburg
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bielefeld
|
18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | -36 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Danilo Soares
D
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
E. Rexhbeçaj
M
G. Holtmann
F
Coach: T. Reis
R. Baku
M
S. Bornauw
D
M. Lacroix
D
M. Arnold
M
Y. Gerhardt
M
W. Weghorst
F
L. Waldschmidt
F
Coach: F. Kohfeldt
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bochum
Union Berlin
Bielefeld
Bochum
Bochum
Dortmund
Augsburg
Bochum
Bochum
Freiburg
D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.