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Premier League
Referee: P Bankes
Bournemouth
U U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Aston Villa
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -20 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–1 17. Aug -19 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–2 9. Apr -16 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–2 8. Aug -15 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1

Match report

Bournemouth Aston Villa
1–0 J. Lerma ⚽
2′
23′
🟨 Danny Ings
Adam Smith 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Buendía
↦ J. Ramsey
Ben Pearson 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Jacob Ramsey
66′
🔁 O. Watkins
↦ D. Ings
L. Cook 🔁
↦ B. Pearson
72′
Philip Billing 🟨
73′
2–0 K. Moore ⚽
L. Kelly
80′
81′
🔁 C. Archer
↦ Philippe Coutinho
82′
🔁 Douglas Luiz
↦ B. Kamara
R. Christie 🔁
↦ M. Tavernier
86′
93′
🟨 Douglas Luiz
J. Stanislas 🔁
↦ D. Solanke
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bournemouth

3-4-2-1
1 M. Travers G
8 J. Lerma D
6 C. Mepham D
5 L. Kelly D
15 A. Smith M
22 B. Pearson M
29 P. Billing M
33 J. Zemura M
16 M. Tavernier F
9 D. Solanke F
21 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
4 L. Cook
10 R. Christie
19 J. Stanislas
32 J. Anthony
40 W. Dennis
20 S. Dembélé
17 J. Stacey
23 J. Hill
11 E. Marcondes

Coach: S. Parker

Aston Villa

4-3-3
1 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
3 Diego Carlos D
27 L. Digne D
7 J. McGinn M
44 B. Kamara M
41 J. Ramsey M
31 L. Bailey F
9 D. Ings F
23 Philippe Coutinho F
Bench (9)
10 E. Buendía
11 O. Watkins
35 C. Archer
6 Douglas Luiz
5 T. Mings
17 L. Augustinsson
16 C. Chambers
18 A. Young
25 R. Olsen

Coach: S. Gerrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,80
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
2,04
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,03
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.