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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Grasshoppers

T T S S U

2–1

Full-time

FC Aarau

T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers FC Aarau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 39/1 matches

Win Ø 11%

21%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

56%

Both score Ø 30%

59%

Average goals

3,1

0,0

Scored

1,2

0,0

Conceded

1,9

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	38	24	3	11	+28	-0.3	75
2	St. Gallen	38	20	10	8	+25	+11.3	70
3	Lugano	38	19	10	9	+17	+1.9	67
4	Sion	38	16	15	7	+23	+14.2	63
5	Basel	38	16	8	14	-3	+10.2	56
6	Young Boys	38	15	10	13	+11	+2.5	55
7	Luzern	38	14	11	13	+10	+4.1	53
8	Servette	38	13	14	11	+8	+14.3	53
9	Lausanne	38	11	9	18	-14	+2.7	42
10	Zurich	38	11	5	22	-23	-11.4	38
11	Grasshoppers	39	8	10	21	-26	-21.4	34
12	Winterthur	38	5	8	25	-56	-28.0	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	19	12	3	4	+16	+0.5	39
2	Thun	19	12	2	5	+16	-1.3	38
3	Sion	19	9	7	3	+15	+7.3	34
4	St. Gallen	19	10	3	6	+10	+14.6	33
5	Young Boys	19	9	5	5	+18	+12.6	32
6	Basel	19	8	6	5	+8	+19.4	30
7	Servette	19	7	7	5	+8	+8.3	28
8	Lausanne	19	6	5	8	+0	+12.0	23
9	Luzern	19	5	7	7	+4	+4.6	22
10	Zurich	19	7	1	11	-7	-2.1	22
11	Grasshoppers	19	4	5	10	-8	-7.8	17
12	Winterthur	19	3	5	11	-20	-6.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	19	10	7	2	+15	-3.3	37
2	Thun	19	12	1	6	+12	+1.0	37
3	Luzern	19	9	4	6	+6	-0.5	31
4	Sion	19	7	8	4	+8	+6.9	29
5	Lugano	19	7	7	5	+1	+1.4	28
6	Basel	19	8	2	9	-11	-9.2	26
7	Servette	19	6	7	6	+0	+6.0	25
8	Young Boys	19	6	5	8	-7	-10.1	23
9	Lausanne	19	5	4	10	-14	-9.3	19
10	Grasshoppers	20	4	5	11	-18	-13.6	17
11	Zurich	19	4	4	11	-16	-9.3	16
12	Winterthur	19	2	3	14	-36	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.