← Match Finder
Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Basel
S U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Lugano
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Basel Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
61%
36%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · Lugano 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 22 9 2 +38 75
2 Basel 33 13 8 12 +5 47
3 Servette 33 13 8 12 -9 47
4 Luzern 33 12 9 12 +7 45
5 Lausanne 32 11 10 11 +3 43
6 Lugano 33 10 13 10 -3 43
7 Zurich 33 10 9 14 -3 39
8 St. Gallen 33 9 10 14 -9 37
9 Vaduz 34 9 9 16 -17 36
10 Sion 33 7 13 13 -12 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.