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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Lugano

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Thun

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Super League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 7. · Thun 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	30	18	5	7	+20	59
2	Young Boys	30	17	7	6	+27	58
3	Basel	31	17	4	10	+31	55
4	Servette	30	11	12	7	+15	45
5	Luzern	30	12	6	12	-3	42
6	Zurich	30	12	6	12	-16	42
7	Lugano	30	8	11	11	-4	35
8	Thun	30	8	4	18	-27	28
9	Sion	29	7	6	16	-18	27
10	Xamax	30	4	11	15	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	13	2	0	+31	41
2	Basel	16	11	2	3	+25	35
3	St. Gallen	15	9	2	4	+9	29
4	Servette	15	7	6	2	+12	27
5	Luzern	15	7	4	4	+4	25
6	Zurich	14	7	2	5	-6	23
7	Lugano	15	4	7	4	-2	19
8	Thun	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Sion	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Xamax	15	2	4	9	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	15	9	3	3	+11	30
2	Basel	15	6	2	7	+6	20
3	Zurich	16	5	4	7	-10	19
4	Servette	15	4	6	5	+3	18
5	Young Boys	15	4	5	6	-4	17
6	Luzern	15	5	2	8	-7	17
7	Lugano	15	4	4	7	-2	16
8	Xamax	15	2	7	6	-16	13
9	Sion	14	3	2	9	-13	11
10	Thun	15	3	1	11	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.