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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Udinese
T S U S T
0–0
Full-time
Lazio
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
28%
66%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
44%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
41%
66%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 15. · Lazio 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 24 4 4 +35 76
2 Atalanta 33 21 7 5 +50 70
3 Inter 32 20 8 4 +34 68
4 Lazio 32 21 5 6 +33 68
5 Roma 32 16 6 10 +16 54
6 Napoli 33 15 8 10 +9 53
7 Milan 33 15 8 10 +6 53
8 Sassuolo 32 13 7 12 +5 46
9 Verona 32 11 11 10 +1 44
10 Bologna 33 11 10 12 -5 43
11 Cagliari 33 10 11 12 -1 41
12 Parma 33 11 7 15 -2 40
13 Sampdoria 33 11 5 17 -12 38
14 Fiorentina 32 8 12 12 -6 36
15 Udinese 32 9 8 15 -15 35
16 Torino 32 10 4 18 -22 34
17 Genoa 32 7 9 16 -20 30
18 Lecce 32 7 8 17 -31 29
19 Brescia 33 5 6 22 -40 21
20 Spal 32 5 4 23 -35 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Lazio
S. Okaka 🟨
3′
16′
🟨 F. Caicedo
39′
🟨 Luiz Felipe
Half-time 0–0
J. Stryger Larsen 🟨
46′
M. Jajalo 🔁
↦ Walace
46′
51′
🔁 Jony
↦ J. Lukaku
51′
🔁 S. Radu
↦ Bastos
S. Okaka 🔁
↦ L. Teodorczyk
68′
K. Sema 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
68′
74′
🔁 Luiz Felipe
↦ D. Cataldi
79′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ D. Anderson
79′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ B. Adekanye
83′
🟨 L. Alberto
B. Nuytinck 🔁
↦ Samir
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
87 Sebastien De Maio D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
8 Mato Jajalo M
6 Seko Fofana M
12 Ken Sema M
15 Kevin Lasagna F
7 Stefano Okaka F
Bench (12)
27 Samuele Perisan
88 Nicolas
18 Hidde ter Avest
3 Samir
5 William Troost-Ekong
77 Marvin Zeegelaar
63 Francesco Mazzolo
11 Walace
61 Marco Ballarini
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk
64 Martin Palumbo
30 Ilija Nestorovski

Coach: L. Gotti

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
3 Luiz Felipe D
33 Francesco Acerbi D
26 Ştefan Radu D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
21 Sergej Milinković-Savić M
16 Marco Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto M
22 Jony M
20 Felipe Caicedo F
17 Ciro Immobile F
Bench (12)
24 Silvio Proto
23 Guido Guerrieri
15 Bastos
93 Denis Vavro
13 Nicolò Armini
8 Djavan Anderson
49 Jorge Silva
5 Jordan Lukaku
52 Luca Falbo
32 Danilo Cataldi
28 André Anderson
34 Bobby Adekanye

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,66
U ✓
3,51
B
2,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.