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Super League
Referee: N Hänni
Servette
S T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Lugano
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Super League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 5. · Lugano 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 8 6 1 1 +13 19
2 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Sion 8 5 1 2 +3 16
4 St. Gallen 8 4 1 3 +1 13
5 Servette 7 2 3 2 +1 9
6 Zurich 8 2 2 4 -11 8
7 Luzern 7 1 3 3 -2 6
8 Thun 8 1 3 4 -6 6
9 Lugano 7 1 2 4 -1 5
10 Xamax 7 0 4 3 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Lugano
Sebastien Wüthrich 🟨
28′
37′
🔁 N. Dalmonte
↦ Carlinhos
Half-time 0–0
52′
🔁 M. Aratore
↦ L. Obexer
K. Kone 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
60′
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ S. Wüthrich
63′
72′
🔁 S. Lovric
↦ O. Custodio
R. Souici 🔁
↦ B. Cespedes
81′
85′
🟨 Numa Lavanchy
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Servette

4-3-1-2
32 J. Frick G
23 V. Sasso D
3 C. Routis D
4 S. Rouiller D
15 M. Goncalves D
10 S. Wüthrich M
9 M. Stevanović M
5 B. Cespedes M
29 G. Ondoua M
11 A. Schalk F
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
18 K. Kone
17 K. Imeri
28 R. Souici
1 J. Kiassumbua
19 Y. Severin
20 V. Taşar
14 A. Maccoppi

Coach: A. Geiger

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
18 E. Yao D
21 L. Obexer M
14 J. Sabbatini M
17 B. Vécsei M
20 O. Custodio M
9 F. Holender F
11 Carlinhos F
Bench (7)
23 N. Dalmonte
70 M. Aratore
24 S. Lovric
80 N. De Queiroz
19 A. Gerndt
22 S. Guidotti
1 D. da Costa

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.