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Champions League
Referee: S Schärer
Salzburg
S S U S U
1–2
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
0%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
16 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Chelsea – Salzburg 1–1

Match report

Salzburg Chelsea
23′
⚽ M. Kovačić 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Luka Sučić 🟨
47′
1–1 J. Adamu ⚽
M. Wöber
49′
B. Šeško 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
61′
64′
⚽ K. Havertz 1–2
C. Pulišić
68′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ M. Kovačić
75′
🔁 César Azpilicueta
↦ C. Pulišić
75′
🔁 A. Broja
↦ P. Aubameyang
A. Ulmer 🔁
↦ M. Wöber
78′
R. Šimić 🔁
↦ N. Oka
78′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ J. Adamu
82′
86′
🟨 Conor Gallagher
88′
🔁 H. Ziyech
↦ C. Gallagher
88′
🔁 M. Mount
↦ R. Sterling
92′
🟨 Kepa Arrizabalaga
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
95 Bernardo D
31 S. Pavlović D
39 M. Wöber D
13 N. Seiwald M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
21 L. Sučić M
77 N. Okafor F
9 J. Adamu F
Bench (10)
30 B. Šeško
17 A. Ulmer
23 R. Šimić
8 D. Kameri
6 S. Baidoo
2 I. Van der Brempt
33 A. Walke
1 N. Mantl
24 Y. Diarra
4 K. Piątkowski

Coach: M. Jaissle

Chelsea

3-4-1-2
1 Kepa G
14 T. Chalobah D
6 Thiago Silva D
32 Marc Cucurella D
10 C. Pulišić M
5 Jorginho M
8 M. Kovačić M
17 R. Sterling M
23 C. Gallagher F
29 K. Havertz F
9 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (10)
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
28 César Azpilicueta
18 A. Broja
22 H. Ziyech
19 M. Mount
20 D. Zakaria
13 M. Bettinelli
21 B. Chilwell
30 C. Chukwuemeka
16 É. Mendy

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.