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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Ried

T S S U U

2–1

Full-time

St. Polten

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 21%

23%

19%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

58%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

4 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 10. · St. Polten 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	26	20	1	5	+49	61
2	SK Rapid	26	14	8	4	+22	50
3	LASK	26	14	4	8	+18	46
4	Sturm Graz	26	12	7	7	+12	43
5	Wolfsberger AC	26	12	3	11	-4	39
6	Tirol	26	10	6	10	+3	36
7	Hartberg	26	9	9	8	-12	36
8	Austria Vienna	26	8	8	10	+1	32
9	Altach	26	7	4	15	-25	25
10	Ried	26	6	6	14	-22	24
11	St. Polten	26	5	7	14	-13	22
12	Admira	26	5	5	16	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	0	2	+29	33
2	Sturm Graz	13	9	1	3	+12	28
3	SK Rapid	13	8	3	2	+12	27
4	LASK	13	8	1	4	+15	25
5	Hartberg	13	5	5	3	-2	20
6	Tirol	13	5	4	4	+4	19
7	Austria Vienna	13	3	6	4	-2	15
8	Altach	13	4	3	6	-7	15
9	Ried	13	4	3	6	-10	15
10	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	3	7	-14	12
11	Admira	13	3	2	8	-12	11
12	St. Polten	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	9	1	3	+20	28
2	Wolfsberger AC	13	9	0	4	+10	27
3	SK Rapid	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	LASK	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	2	6	+3	17
6	Tirol	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	St. Polten	13	4	4	5	+0	16
8	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	-10	16
9	Sturm Graz	13	3	6	4	+0	15
10	Altach	13	3	1	9	-18	10
11	Ried	13	2	3	8	-12	9
12	Admira	13	2	3	8	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.