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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
St. Polten
T T U S U
0–3
Full-time
Admira
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Admira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
2,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Polten 10. · Admira 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 24 17 4 3 +29 55
2 Salzburg 24 16 6 2 +56 54
3 SK Rapid 24 12 7 5 +23 43
4 Wolfsberger AC 24 12 6 6 +24 42
5 Sturm Graz 24 9 5 10 +4 32
6 Hartberg 24 9 5 10 -19 32
7 Austria Vienna 24 6 11 7 -2 29
8 Altach 24 7 5 12 -10 26
9 Mattersburg 24 6 4 14 -24 22
10 St. Polten 24 4 9 11 -28 21
11 Tirol 24 5 5 14 -29 20
12 Admira 24 4 7 13 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Admira
4′
🟨 P. Petlach
31′
🟨 R. Kerschbaum
40′
R. Kerschbaum 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Ambichl 🟨
63′
I. Ouedraogo 🔁
↦ C. Burke
64′
M. Schimpelsberger 🔁
↦ S. Ingolitsch
64′
79′
🔁 S. Bakis
↦ S. Paintsil
84′
🔁 E. Hoffer
↦ D. Toth
87′
D. Toth 0–2
S. Paintsil
88′
🔁 M. Hjulmand
↦ B. Thoelke
88′
🔁 M. Pavelic
↦ M. Maier
89′
P. Petlach 0–3
S. Paintsil
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St. Polten

3-4-2-1
1 Christoph Riegler G
5 Luca Meisl D
14 Christoph Klarer D
29 Daniel Drescher D
27 Michael Schimpelsberger M
8 Michael Ambichl M
4 Dominik Hofbauer M
11 George Davies M
38 Christoph Messerer F
77 Alan Cariús F
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo F
Bench (7)
23 Kilian Kretschmer
6 Daniel Petrovic
22 Sandro Ingolitsch
20 Daniel Schutz
31 Nico Gorzel
7 Nicolas Meister
9 Cory Burke

Coach: A. Schmidt

Admira

3-5-1-1
1 Andreas Leitner G
23 Pascal Petlach D
6 Christoph Schosswendter D
27 Emanuel Aiwu D
25 Mario Pavelić M
8 Roman Kerschbaum M
18 Markus Lackner M
14 Morten Hjulmand M
37 Leonardo Lukačević M
16 Erwin Hoffer F
11 Sinan Bakış F
Bench (7)
30 Christoph Haas
5 Bjarne Thoelke
39 Onurhan Babuscu
10 Daniel Toth
22 Marcus Maier
29 Muhammed Cham Saracevic
21 Paintsil Seth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.