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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Falkirk

T S U T S

3–6

Full-time

Rangers

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Rangers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,3

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 49%

41%

56%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,67 xG 3,72

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 6. · Rangers 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	33	21	7	5	+30	+12.3	70
2	Celtic	33	21	4	8	+24	+21.0	67
3	Rangers	32	18	12	2	+32	+17.5	66
4	Motherwell	33	14	12	7	+23	+11.9	54
5	Hibernian	33	13	12	8	+14	+3.8	51
6	Falkirk	32	13	7	12	+0	+5.5	46
7	Dundee United	33	9	13	11	-9	-11.9	40
8	Aberdeen	33	9	6	18	-15	-14.1	33
9	Dundee	33	8	9	16	-19	-10.5	33
10	St Mirren	33	7	9	17	-21	-4.0	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	6	10	17	-28	-14.6	28
12	Livingston	33	1	13	19	-31	-16.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	13	4	0	+22	+7.8	43
2	Rangers	17	11	5	1	+20	+14.4	38
3	Celtic	16	12	1	3	+22	+15.3	37
4	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
5	Hibernian	16	8	6	2	+16	+9.1	30
6	Dundee United	17	6	6	5	-1	-4.3	24
7	Falkirk	16	6	5	5	+6	+7.5	23
8	Dundee	16	6	4	6	-2	-6.8	22
9	Aberdeen	16	5	5	6	+4	-5.1	20
10	St Mirren	16	5	5	6	-6	+1.2	20
11	Kilmarnock	17	5	4	8	-5	-0.6	19
12	Livingston	16	1	7	8	-9	-6.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	17	9	3	5	+2	+5.7	30
2	Rangers	15	7	7	1	+12	+3.0	28
3	Hearts	16	8	3	5	+8	+4.5	27
4	Falkirk	16	7	2	7	-6	-2.0	23
5	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.3	21
6	Motherwell	16	4	7	5	+3	-0.2	19
7	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-8	-7.7	16
8	Aberdeen	17	4	1	12	-19	-8.9	13
9	Dundee	17	2	5	10	-17	-3.8	11
10	St Mirren	17	2	4	11	-15	-5.2	10
11	Kilmarnock	16	1	6	9	-23	-14.0	9
12	Livingston	17	0	6	11	-22	-10.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.