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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Rangers
S U S T U
3–0
Full-time
Celtic
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 75%
61%
89%
Points per game
2,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,7
2,9
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
24 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 2. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 2 0 +48 50
2 Rangers 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Aberdeen 19 10 4 5 +5 34
4 Dundee United 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 St Mirren 20 8 3 9 -5 27
6 Motherwell 19 8 3 8 -8 27
7 Hibernian 20 6 6 8 -4 24
8 Dundee 19 6 4 9 -5 22
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 6 9 -13 21
10 Ross County 20 4 7 9 -18 19
11 Hearts 20 4 5 11 -8 17
12 ST Johnstone 20 4 2 14 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -24 Celtic – Rangers 3–0 11. May -24 Celtic – Rangers 2–1 7. Apr -24 Rangers – Celtic 3–3 30. Dec -23 Celtic – Rangers 2–1 3. Sep -23 Rangers – Celtic 0–1

Match report

Rangers Celtic
1–0 I. Hagi ⚽
N. Raskin
7′
33′
🟨 Callum McGregor
Half-time 1–0
Jefté 🟨
47′
Nicolas Raskin 🟨
51′
61′
🟨 Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
64′
🔁 Álex Valle
↦ G. Taylor
64′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ K. Furuhashi
64′
🔁 L. McCowan
↦ Paulo Bernardo
2–0 R. Pröpper ⚽
66′
75′
🔁 A. Engels
↦ R. Hatate
Danilo 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
80′
3–0 Danilo ⚽
81′
R. Fraser 🔁
↦ Jefté
91′
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ H. Igamane
94′
Ó. Cortés 🔁
↦ I. Hagi
95′
C. Barron 🔁
↦ N. Raskin
95′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
31 L. Kelly G
3 R. Yılmaz D
21 D. Sterling D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 Jefté D
10 M. Diomande M
43 N. Raskin M
18 V. Černý M
14 N. Bajrami M
30 I. Hagi M
29 H. Igamane F
Bench (9)
99 Danilo
9 C. Dessers
47 R. Fraser
7 Ó. Cortés
8 C. Barron
38 L. King
54 M. Munn
20 K. Dowell
17 R. Matondo

Coach: P. Clement

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
28 Paulo Bernardo M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
11 Álex Valle
9 A. Idah
14 L. McCowan
27 A. Engels
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
56 A. Ralston
7 L. Palma
6 A. Trusty
12 V. Sinisalo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,96
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B
2,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,10
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.