Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Napoli
Venezia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atalanta
|
18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +23 | +17.4 | 41 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | +30 | +18.9 | 40 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +14 | +10.0 | 38 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +8 | +10.6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Fiorentina
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +16 | +8.4 | 31 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | +15 | +11.5 | 31 |
| 7 |
Bologna
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +5 | +3.2 | 28 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | +10.2 | 26 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -5 | -8.5 | 24 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -5 | -7.6 | 20 |
| 11 |
Roma
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | +0 | +1.7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Empoli
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -4 | -10.2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -11 | -9.3 | 19 |
| 14 |
Parma
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -9 | -12.9 | 18 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | -9.1 | 16 |
| 16 |
Como
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -12 | -1.3 | 15 |
| 17 |
Verona
|
17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | -19 | -11.5 | 15 |
| 18 |
Cagliari
|
18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -15 | -5.7 | 14 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | -9.0 | 13 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -9 | -6.5 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Meret
G
G. Di Lorenzo
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
Juan Jesus
D
M. Olivera
D
F. Anguissa
M
S. Lobotka
M
S. McTominay
M
David Neres
F
R. Lukaku
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
F
Coach: A. Conte
F. Stanković
G
J. Idzes
D
F. Zampano
M
G. Busio
M
F. Carboni
M
M. Ellertsson
F
G. Oristanio
F
J. Yeboah
F
Coach: E. Di Francesco
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Genoa
Napoli
Udinese
Napoli
Napoli
Lazio
Lazio
Napoli
Torino
Napoli
F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.