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KNVB Beker
Referee: I Oostrom
Den Haag
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 40. · Sparta Rotterdam 34.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RKAV Volendam 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 DEM 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Quick Boys 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Hercules 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Excelsior Maassluis 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Cambuur 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
8 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
11 Groningen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 For Sittard 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Spakenburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
14 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
17 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
19 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
20 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
24 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
25 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
26 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
27 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Dordrecht 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
61 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
98 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
99 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
104 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
105 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 D. van Mieghem
5′
38′
🟨 Tijs Velthuis
40′
🟨 Django Warmerdam
Sacha Komljenovic 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
S. Esajas 🔁
↦ G. Siereveld
46′
J. Ideho 🔁
↦ D. van Mieghem
46′
H. Koudossou 🔁
↦ B. van Hintum
46′
46′
🔁 R. Rosario
↦ Sergi Rosanas
62′
🟨 Arno Verschueren
M. Houwaart 🔁
↦ J. van der Sande
63′
73′
🔁 J. Bal
↦ D. Warmerdam
73′
🔁 Metinho
↦ J. de Guzmán
76′
🔁 D. Zandbergen
↦ C. Neghli
C. Gustina 🔁
↦ F. de Bruin
86′
2–0 J. Ideho
88′
92′
🟨 Rayvien Rosario
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
28 T. Coremans G
2 T. Asante D
26 G. Siereveld D
4 M. Waem D
5 B. van Hintum D
6 K. Sürmeli M
34 F. de Bruin M
20 S. Komljenovic M
7 D. van Mieghem F
10 J. van der Sande F
15 A. Absalem F
Bench (11)
18 S. Esajas
17 J. Ideho
14 H. Koudossou
32 M. Houwaart
16 C. Gustina
35 I. Karijowidjojo
27 R. Struick
12 G. Nigro
29 D. van de Riet
31 S. Eekhout
21 R. Esajas

Coach: D. Kalezić

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 Sergi Rosanas D
3 R. Meissen D
4 T. Velthuis D
5 D. van der Kust D
6 J. de Guzmán M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 C. Neghli M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 D. Warmerdam M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (10)
18 R. Rosario
19 J. Bal
17 Metinho
16 D. Zandbergen
30 D. van Crooij
12 J. Triep
13 M. de Ligt
14 M. Eerdhuijzen
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
15 Pedro Alemañ

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.