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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Ein Frankfurt
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
53%
93%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,9
4,2
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,42 xG 0,34
63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · M'gladbach 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 15 12 3 0 +30 +15.1 39
2 Bayern Munich 14 11 2 1 +33 +31.1 35
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 3 3 +21 +14.0 33
4 Stuttgart 15 10 1 4 +15 +18.8 31
5 Dortmund 16 7 6 3 +5 +1.3 27
6 Hoffenheim 16 7 3 6 +2 -1.2 24
7 Freiburg 15 7 3 5 -4 +0.3 24
8 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 6 4 +5 -2.9 21
9 Wolfsburg 15 6 1 8 -6 -2.5 19
10 Augsburg 15 4 6 5 -4 -1.1 18
11 M'gladbach 15 4 5 6 -3 -3.4 17
12 Heidenheim 15 5 2 8 -8 -16.4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 4 8 -7 -7.3 16
14 Bochum 15 3 7 5 -11 -4.6 16
15 Union Berlin 15 4 1 10 -14 -4.6 13
16 Mainz 16 1 7 8 -15 -1.4 10
17 FC Koln 16 2 4 10 -18 -18.0 10
18 Darmstadt 16 2 4 10 -21 -17.3 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt M'gladbach
27′
M. Wöber 0–1
F. Honorat
35′
🟨 Nico Elvedi
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Manu Koné
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ J. Dina Ebimbe
60′
63′
🔁 N. Ngoumou
↦ R. Hack
69′
🟨 Maximilian Wöber
Willian Pacho 🟨
71′
J. Ngankam 🔁
↦ M. Götze
77′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ P. Max
77′
77′
🔁 C. Kramer
↦ R. Reitz
77′
🔁 T. Čvančara
↦ A. Pléa
79′
🟨 Joseph Scally
Aurélio Buta 🔁
↦ Tuta
83′
J. Hauge 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
83′
88′
🟨 Maximilian Wöber
88′
🟥 Maximilian Wöber
90′
🔁 F. Chiarodia
↦ F. Honorat
90′
🔁 M. Friedrich
↦ N. Ngoumou
1–1 Aurélio Buta
N. Nkounkou
92′
96′
🟨 Moritz Nicolas
2–1 R. Koch
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 W. Pacho D
31 P. Max D
36 A. Knauff M
15 E. Skhiri M
27 M. Götze M
26 J. Dina Ebimbe M
8 F. Chaïbi F
7 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
16 H. Larsson
18 J. Ngankam
29 N. Nkounkou
24 Aurélio Buta
23 J. Hauge
33 J. Grahl
20 M. Hasebe
5 H. Smolčić
47 E. Baum

Coach: D. Toppmöller

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
33 M. Nicolas G
29 J. Scally D
30 N. Elvedi D
39 M. Wöber D
9 F. Honorat M
8 J. Weigl M
17 M. Koné M
20 L. Netz M
27 R. Reitz F
25 R. Hack F
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (9)
19 N. Ngoumou
23 C. Kramer
31 T. Čvančara
2 F. Chiarodia
5 M. Friedrich
41 J. Olschowsky
10 F. Neuhaus
45 S. Walde
7 P. Herrmann

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,97
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.