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KNVB Beker

Referee: R Hensgens

HHC

T S

2–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HHC AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 24

4 Shots on target 13

4 Blocked shots 4

10 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 15

0 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RKAV Volendam	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Hercules	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Cambuur	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
8	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
20	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
21	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
25	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
26	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
27	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Dordrecht	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
104	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
105	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
37	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
70	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.