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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
T T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
61%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Aberdeen 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 17 0 1 +42 51
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 18 8 1 9 +2 25
4 Hearts 17 7 4 6 +1 25
5 ST Johnstone 18 7 3 8 -4 24
6 St Mirren 16 7 3 6 -4 24
7 Hibernian 18 7 2 9 -2 23
8 Livingston 17 7 2 8 -10 23
9 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 -2 18
10 Kilmarnock 18 4 4 10 -17 16
11 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
12 Dundee United 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -22 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 4–1 20. Feb -21 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 20. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 0–2 12. Sep -20 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 4. Mar -20 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Aberdeen
15′
🟨 Jack Mackenzie
23′
🟨 Hayden Coulson
1–0 S. Robinson ⚽
31′
38′
🔁 V. Besuijen
↦ H. Coulson
2–0 J. Wright ⚽
A. Taylor
42′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 C. Ramírez
↦ R. Duncan
77′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ C. Barron
F. Murray 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
86′
C. Stokes 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
87′
B. Alston 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
89′
Lewis Mayo 🟨
90′
91′
⚽ M. Kennedy 2–1
Sam Walker 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
11 D. Armstrong M
7 R. McKenzie M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
33 B. Chrisene M
26 C. Doidge F
16 S. Robinson F
Bench (9)
15 F. Murray
6 C. Stokes
8 B. Alston
1 Z. Hemming
29 B. Wales
10 Jordan Jones
17 B. Lyons
9 O. Shaw
21 K. McInroy

Coach: D. McInnes

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
2 R. McCrorie D
4 L. Scales D
3 J. MacKenzie D
33 M. Kennedy M
8 C. Barron M
16 Y. Ramadani M
23 R. Duncan M
22 H. Coulson M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
10 V. Besuijen
99 C. Ramírez
15 M. Watkins
1 J. Lewis
46 F. Marshall
25 J. Richardson
28 J. Milne
21 D. Polvara
7 S. Morris

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
2,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
U2,5
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.