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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Clermont
U T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Lille
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 70%
67%
73%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 10. · Lille 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 +34 41
2 Lens 15 11 3 1 +16 36
3 Rennes 15 9 4 2 +17 31
4 Marseille 15 9 3 3 +13 30
5 Monaco 16 9 3 4 +9 30
6 Lorient 15 8 4 3 +5 28
7 Lille 15 8 2 5 +4 26
8 Lyon 15 6 3 6 +5 21
9 Nice 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Clermont 15 5 4 6 -4 19
11 Reims 15 3 8 4 -5 17
12 Toulouse 15 4 4 7 -7 16
13 Troyes 16 3 6 7 -5 15
14 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -9 15
15 Montpellier 15 4 2 9 -5 14
16 Nantes 16 2 8 6 -7 14
17 Brest 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Auxerre 16 3 4 9 -18 13
19 Strasbourg 15 1 8 6 -9 11
20 Angers 16 2 2 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Lille
Johan Gastien 🟨
5′
31′
🟨 Benjamin André
Alidu Seidu 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
47′
68′
A. Gomes 0–1
69′
🔁 J. David
↦ A. Virginius
K. Andrić 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
70′
M. Cham 🔁
↦ S. Khaoui
70′
72′
🟨 Rémy Cabella
78′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ E. Zhegrova
M. Gonalons 🔁
↦ J. Gastien
82′
Jérémie Bela 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
82′
J. Dossou 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
87′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
91′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟥
91′
91′
🔁 M. Bayo
↦ R. Cabella
94′
M. Bayo 0–2
J. David
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Clermont

3-4-2-1
99 M. Diaw G
36 A. Seidu D
4 M. Wieteska D
5 M. Caufriez D
11 J. Allevinah M
7 Y. Magnin M
25 J. Gastien M
3 Neto Borges M
10 S. Khaoui F
18 E. Rashani F
95 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
9 K. Andrić
70 M. Cham
12 M. Gonalons
91 Jérémie Bela
20 J. Dossou
31 B. Diallo
23 B. Baiye
21 F. Ogier
40 O. Djoco

Coach: P. Gastien

Lille

3-4-2-1
30 L. Chevalier G
18 B. Diakité D
6 José Fonte D
3 Tiago Djaló D
23 E. Zhegrova M
21 B. André M
28 André Gomes M
31 Ismaily M
20 A. Gomes F
10 R. Cabella F
26 A. Virginius F
Bench (9)
9 J. David
22 T. Weah
27 M. Bayo
33 I. Ferrah
39 M. Makhabe
8 J. Martin
1 Léo Jardim
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro
38 S. Ramet

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,32
U
3,80
B ✓
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.