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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Motherwell
S U T T S
2–1
Full-time
Hearts
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 39%
31%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 36 25 8 3 +44 83
3 Hearts 36 17 10 9 +13 61
4 Livingston 36 12 9 15 -6 45
5 Dundee United 37 11 12 14 -8 45
6 Motherwell 36 11 10 15 -14 43
7 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
8 St Mirren 36 10 12 14 -18 42
9 Ross County 36 10 11 15 -10 41
10 Aberdeen 36 10 10 16 -4 40
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 11 18 -24 32
12 Dundee 37 6 11 20 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -22 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 20. Nov -21 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 2. Oct -21 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 7. Mar -20 Hearts – Motherwell 1–1 7. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hearts 1–0

Match report

Motherwell Hearts
1–0 J. Efford ⚽
3′
9′
⚽ J. Ginnelly 1–1
Half-time 1–1
K. van Veen 🔁
↦ J. Ojala
46′
Callum Slattery 🟨
50′
2–1 R. Lamie ⚽
56′
63′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ A. Halliday
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ S. Goss
69′
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
69′
75′
🔁 C. Devlin
↦ L. Boyce
75′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ N. Atkinson
75′
🔁 S. Kingsley
↦ T. Sibbick
80′
🔁 M. Thomas
↦ B. Woodburn
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ J. Efford
90′
V. Nirennold 🔁
↦ C. Shields
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
3 J. Carroll M
2 S. O'Donnell M
4 R. Lamie D
22 L. Donnelly D
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery F
18 D. Cornelius M
29 C. Shields F
20 J. Efford F
Bench (9)
9 K. van Veen
11 L. Shaw
26 R. Tierney
5 B. Mugabi
32 V. Nirennold
7 K. Woolery
45 R. Mahon
30 S. Campbell
41 M. Connolly

Coach: G. Alexander

Hearts

3-5-2
13 R. Stewart G
15 T. Moore D
17 A. Cochrane D
21 T. Sibbick D
12 N. Atkinson M
16 A. Halliday M
11 G. Mackay-Steven M
5 P. Haring M
10 L. Boyce F
30 J. Ginnelly F
9 B. Woodburn M
Bench (9)
20 E. Simms
14 C. Devlin
2 M. Smith
3 S. Kingsley
48 M. Thomas
4 J. Souttar
8 A. McEneff
1 C. Gordon
49 M. Tait

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,93
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B
2,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.