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Super League

Referee: S Tsimenteridis

Larisa

S S S T U

1–1

Full-time

PAOK

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

22%

68%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

39%

59%

Both score Ø 44%

52%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,88 xG 2,17

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 12. · PAOK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	24	16	6	2	+31	+4.3	54
2	AEK	23	16	5	2	+25	+2.7	53
3	PAOK	22	15	5	2	+30	+1.5	50
4	Levadeiakos	23	11	8	4	+24	-1.6	41
5	Panathinaikos	22	10	7	5	+9	+1.2	37
6	OFI Crete	22	9	1	12	-7	-3.1	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	21	6	9	6	-3	-2.5	27
8	Aris	21	6	9	6	-3	–	27
9	Volos NFC	24	8	3	13	-13	+1.3	27
10	Atromitos	23	6	6	11	-5	+0.8	24
11	Panetolikos	24	7	3	14	-13	-2.5	24
12	Larisa	23	5	8	10	-13	+0.5	23
13	Kifisia	21	4	8	9	-7	+1.6	20
14	Asteras Tripolis	24	3	8	13	-16	-0.2	17
15	Panserraikos	23	3	4	16	-39	-3.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	12	10	2	0	+21	+0.6	32
2	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	+2.2	31
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
5	Panathinaikos	10	6	3	1	+10	+0.2	21
6	OFI Crete	12	6	0	6	+6	-1.5	18
7	Volos NFC	11	4	3	4	-4	+1.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.9	13
9	Aris	10	2	7	1	+1	–	13
10	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-8	+0.8	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	12	2	5	5	-2	+0.1	11
12	Kifisia	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.6	10
13	Panserraikos	11	3	1	7	-15	-3.0	10
14	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9
15	Atromitos	12	1	4	7	-6	+0.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	+2.7	25
2	Olympiakos	12	6	5	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	PAOK	10	5	3	2	+9	+0.9	18
4	Levadeiakos	11	4	5	2	+5	+0.5	17
5	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+1	-0.1	17
6	Panathinaikos	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.9	16
7	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.9	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.6	14
9	Aris	11	4	2	5	-4	–	14
10	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
11	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-5	–	10
12	Larisa	11	2	4	5	-5	-0.2	10
13	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	3	8	-14	-0.4	6
15	Panserraikos	12	0	3	9	-24	-0.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.