Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Olympiakos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
36 | 24 | 10 | 2 | +46 | 82 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | +54 | 77 |
| 3 |
Olympiakos
|
34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | +46 | 75 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | +44 | 69 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | +5 | 48 |
| 7 |
Lamia
|
36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -29 | 39 |
| 8 |
OFI Crete
|
33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -13 | 37 |
| 9 |
Atromitos
|
33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -15 | 37 |
| 10 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | -16 | 37 |
| 11 |
Panserraikos
|
33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 |
Panetolikos
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 |
Volos NFC
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -24 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kifisia
|
33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -31 | 27 |
| 15 |
Giannina
|
33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -32 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris
AEK
AEK
Aris
Aris
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos
Aris
Aris
Lamia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.