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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Karagumruk

S S U T S

2–3

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

2,3

3,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 45%

35%

55%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

74%

61%

Both score Ø 66%

71%

61%

Average goals

3,9

3,3

Scored

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Ad. Demirspor 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	24	4	4	+45	76
2	Besiktas	33	21	8	4	+36	71
3	Fenerbahce	31	21	5	5	+38	68
4	Ad. Demirspor	31	17	9	5	+31	60
5	Buyuksehyr	32	15	7	10	+11	52
6	Konyaspor	33	12	13	8	+9	49
7	Kayserispor	32	15	4	13	+1	49
8	Trabzonspor	31	14	6	11	+5	48
9	Karagumruk	31	11	11	9	+11	44
10	Alanyaspor	33	10	8	15	-14	38
11	Sivasspor	33	10	7	16	-7	37
12	Antalyaspor	32	10	7	15	-8	37
13	Kasimpasa	32	10	7	15	-13	37
14	Ankaragücü	32	10	6	16	-8	36
15	İstanbulspor	32	10	5	17	-20	35
16	Giresunspor	32	7	10	15	-22	31
17	Ümraniyespor	33	7	9	17	-11	30
18	Gaziantep	33	6	7	20	-32	25
19	Hatayspor	32	6	5	21	-52	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	17	13	3	1	+26	42
2	Galatasaray	16	13	2	1	+21	41
3	Ad. Demirspor	16	12	4	0	+31	40
4	Trabzonspor	16	10	4	2	+18	34
5	Fenerbahce	15	10	2	3	+19	32
6	Buyuksehyr	16	10	2	4	+9	32
7	Kayserispor	16	9	2	5	+11	29
8	Alanyaspor	17	8	4	5	+4	28
9	Antalyaspor	16	7	2	7	+2	23
10	Ankaragücü	16	6	4	6	+0	22
11	Konyaspor	17	5	7	5	+0	22
12	Kasimpasa	16	6	3	7	-2	21
13	Karagumruk	15	5	5	5	+5	20
14	Giresunspor	16	5	4	7	-4	19
15	Sivasspor	16	4	6	6	+1	18
16	İstanbulspor	16	5	3	8	-9	18
17	Ümraniyespor	17	4	4	9	-2	16
18	Hatayspor	15	4	4	7	-16	16
19	Gaziantep	16	3	4	9	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	11	3	2	+19	36
2	Galatasaray	16	11	2	3	+24	35
3	Besiktas	16	8	5	3	+10	29
4	Konyaspor	16	7	6	3	+9	27
5	Karagumruk	16	6	6	4	+6	24
6	Buyuksehyr	16	5	5	6	+2	20
7	Ad. Demirspor	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Kayserispor	16	6	2	8	-10	20
9	Sivasspor	17	6	1	10	-8	19
10	İstanbulspor	16	5	2	9	-11	17
11	Kasimpasa	16	4	4	8	-11	16
12	Ankaragücü	16	4	2	10	-8	14
13	Ümraniyespor	16	3	5	8	-9	14
14	Antalyaspor	16	3	5	8	-10	14
15	Trabzonspor	15	4	2	9	-13	14
16	Gaziantep	17	3	3	11	-18	12
17	Giresunspor	16	2	6	8	-18	12
18	Alanyaspor	16	2	4	10	-18	10
19	Hatayspor	17	2	1	14	-36	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.