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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Besiktas
U T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 7. · Ad. Demirspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 15 10 3 2 +15 33
2 Fenerbahce 15 10 2 3 +24 32
3 Buyuksehyr 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Ad. Demirspor 14 7 6 1 +11 27
5 Trabzonspor 15 7 5 3 +2 26
6 Konyaspor 15 6 7 2 +7 25
7 Besiktas 14 6 5 3 +8 23
8 Kayserispor 15 7 2 6 +3 23
9 Alanyaspor 16 5 6 5 -3 21
10 Giresunspor 15 5 4 6 -6 19
11 Gaziantep 15 4 5 6 -1 17
12 Karagumruk 15 4 4 7 -1 16
13 Ankaragücü 15 4 4 7 -4 16
14 Antalyaspor 14 5 1 8 -6 16
15 Kasimpasa 15 4 3 8 -13 15
16 Hatayspor 15 4 3 8 -14 15
17 Sivasspor 16 3 5 8 -6 14
18 İstanbulspor 15 3 2 10 -14 11
19 Ümraniyespor 15 2 4 9 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Ad. Demirspor
13′
🟨 Badou Ndiaye
1–0 A. Masuaku
14′
Souza 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Wout Weghorst 🟨
51′
61′
🟨 Samet Akaydın
Cenk Tosun 🟨
65′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
65′
N. Redmond 🔁
↦ C. Tosun
66′
68′
🔁 Y. Sarı
↦ E. Akbaba
76′
🔁 G. İnler
↦ P. NDiaye
76′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
Valentin Rosier 🟨
81′
86′
🔁 D. Akintola
↦ H. Onyekuru
86′
🔁 E. Öztümer
↦ B. Stambouli
A. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ G. Nkoudou
89′
J. Muleka 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
90′
Jackson Muleka 🟨
93′
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 V. Rosier D
23 Welinton D
3 T. Sanuç D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
5 Josef de Souza M
9 C. Tosun M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
7 G. Nkoudou M
10 W. Weghorst F
Bench (10)
88 T. Bingöl
15 N. Redmond
13 A. Hutchinson
20 N. Uysal
40 J. Muleka
14 E. Uzunhan
11 D. Alli
77 U. Meraş
1 E. Destanoğlu
17 K. Kesgin

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
23 F. Gulbrandsen M
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
7 H. Onyekuru M
20 E. Akbaba F
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
26 Y. Sarı
88 G. İnler
9 B. Assombalonga
11 D. Akintola
50 E. Öztümer
16 İ. Çokçalış
15 J. Manev
39 V. Karakuş
3 A. Dursun
8 B. Bjarnason

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
4,02
B
3,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.