Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Besiktas
Gaziantep
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray
|
32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahce
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | +38 | 68 |
| 3 |
Besiktas
|
32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 68 |
| 4 |
Ad. Demirspor
|
31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | +31 | 60 |
| 5 |
Buyuksehyr
|
31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 51 |
| 6 |
Konyaspor
|
33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | +9 | 49 |
| 7 |
Kayserispor
|
32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | +1 | 49 |
| 8 |
Trabzonspor
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +5 | 48 |
| 9 |
Karagumruk
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +11 | 44 |
| 10 |
Alanyaspor
|
33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 |
Sivasspor
|
33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 |
Kasimpasa
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 |
Antalyaspor
|
31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 |
Ankaragücü
|
31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 |
İstanbulspor
|
32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | -20 | 35 |
| 16 |
Ümraniyespor
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 |
Giresunspor
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -25 | 28 |
| 18 |
Gaziantep
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -29 | 25 |
| 19 |
Hatayspor
|
31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -49 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Antalyaspor
Besiktas
Besiktas
Galatasaray
Ümraniyespor
Besiktas
Besiktas
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.