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Superligaen

Nordsjaelland

S U S U U

3–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 84%

89%

78%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	6	2	2	+5	20
2	Sonderjyske	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Brondby	9	6	0	3	+4	18
4	Aalborg	10	4	4	2	+0	16
5	Aarhus	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	Vejle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Nordsjaelland	9	3	4	2	+5	13
8	Randers FC	10	4	1	5	+3	13
9	FC Copenhagen	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Odense	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Horsens	10	1	3	6	-10	6
12	Lyngby	9	0	3	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Sonderjyske	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Aarhus	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Brondby	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Odense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Aalborg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Vejle	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	FC Copenhagen	5	2	0	3	+0	6
10	Horsens	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Lyngby	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Randers FC	5	3	0	2	+5	9
2	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Sonderjyske	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Aalborg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Vejle	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	FC Copenhagen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Midtjylland	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Aarhus	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Nordsjaelland	5	0	3	2	-2	3
10	Odense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
11	Horsens	5	0	1	4	-6	1
12	Lyngby	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.