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Süper Lig
Referee: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu
Galatasaray
U S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 5. · Alanyaspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Alanyaspor 4 3 1 0 +10 10
3 Karagumruk 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Antalyaspor 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Erzurumspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Sivasspor 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Kasimpasa 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 -3 7
10 Goztep 5 1 3 1 +3 6
11 Konyaspor 4 1 3 0 +3 6
12 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Rizespor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Trabzonspor 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Genclerbirligi 3 1 1 1 -1 4
17 Gaziantep 5 0 4 1 -2 4
18 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -2 4
19 Buyuksehyr 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Denizlispor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
21 Ankaragücü 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Alanyaspor
21′
🟨 Khouma Babacar
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟨
30′
1–0 R. Falcao
34′
Marcão 🟨
42′
43′
K. Babacar 1–1
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟨
45′
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟥
45′
Half-time 1–1
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
46′
Ö. Bayram 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
46′
52′
🟨 Salih Uçan
Younès Belhanda 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 M. Pektemek
↦ K. Babacar
69′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ S. Uçan
Younès Belhanda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
74′
78′
🟨 Manolis Siopis
79′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ A. Bareiro
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
82′
Fatih Öztürk 🟨
83′
R. Donk 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
83′
A. Turan 🔁
↦ R. Babel
92′
92′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ E. Siopis
95′
Davidson 1–2
B. Kutlu
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
99 F. Öztürk G
14 M. Linnes D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
36 M. Saracchi D
27 C. Luyindama D
4 T. Antalyalı M
54 E. Kılınç M
20 E. Akbaba M
13 O. Etebo M
8 R. Babel M
9 R. Falcao F
Bench (10)
10 Y. Belhanda
19 Ö. Bayram
90 M. Diagne
15 R. Donk
66 A. Turan
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
34 O. Kocuk
18 K. Aktürkoğlu
23 E. Taşdemir
89 S. Feghouli

Coach: F. Terim

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
10 K. Babacar M
11 A. Bakasetas M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (10)
19 M. Pektemek
23 E. Bekiroglu
75 T. Bingöl
22 B. Kutlu
27 U. Güneş
20 H. Ayaroğlu
1 U. Ceylan
5 F. Aksoy
6 C. Gülselam
3 A. Gülay

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U
3,35
B ✓
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tugay Kaan Numanoglu · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.