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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Magnus Nicolai Koløy
Stabaek
T U T U T
3–3
Full-time
Moss
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
53%
73%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Moss 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 15 10 5 0 +25 35
2 Start 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Aalesund 14 5 8 1 +7 23
4 Odd 15 6 4 5 +2 22
5 hodd 15 6 4 5 -4 22
6 Sogndal 15 6 3 6 +2 21
7 Egersund 14 6 3 5 -1 21
8 Kongsvinger 14 5 5 4 +6 20
9 Ranheim 14 6 2 6 -3 20
10 Raufoss 15 4 7 4 +3 19
11 Moss 15 6 1 8 -9 19
12 Lyn 15 5 3 7 +2 18
13 Asane 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Stabaek 15 3 5 7 -9 14
15 Mjondalen 15 2 5 8 -17 11
16 Skeid 15 1 6 8 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Moss
18′
T. Jakobsen 0–1
P. Andersen
Half-time 0–1
R. E. Vinge 🔁
↦ S. Olderheim
46′
48′
🟨 T. Jakobsen
1–1 A. Andresen
M. Sjoeng
56′
W. Wendt 🔁
↦ A. Matic
63′
63′
🔁 A. A. Engesvik
↦ P. Andersen
63′
🔁 B. Isufi
↦ M. Afonso
N. Naess 🟨
71′
K. Pedersen 🔁
↦ O. Veum
77′
77′
🔁 K. Sorensen
↦ T. Jakobsen
77′
🔁 S. Gronli
↦ H. Vold Krohg
77′
🔁 K. Strande
↦ A. van der Spa
85′
S. Gronli 1–2
2–2 B. Diabate
K. Pedersen
87′
3–2 B. Diabate
89′
B. Diabate 🟨
90′
90′
K. Sorensen 3–3
M. Nielsen 🔁
↦ B. Diabate
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
13 M. Hellan
20 A. Andresen
6 A. Matic
15 O. Veum
4 N. Naess
18 A. Bawa
21 K. Onsrud
9 B. Diabate
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
17 S. Olderheim
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
2 K. Pedersen
7 R. E. Vinge
14 M. Nielsen
22 K. Opseth
23 W. Wendt
25 D. Afrim
10 H. Geelmuyden
29 K. Ekorness

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
23 J. Barros
6 A. van der Spa
4 K. Harrison
11 T. Jakobsen
9 J. Musbaudeen
17 P. Andersen
19 A. Memedov
8 H. Vold Krohg
49 M. Afonso
Bench (9)
30 M. Skott-Grande
15 A. A. Engesvik
20 K. Sorensen
21 S. Gronli
24 M. Welinder
26 B. Isufi
29 M. Mayonga
3 K. Strande
37 M. Antonsen

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.