NM-cupen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stabaek
Kristiansund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 12 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 12 |
| 3 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 12 |
| 4 |
Kristiansund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 12 |
| 5 |
KFUM Oslo
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 6 |
Stabaek
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 7 |
Fredrikstad
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 10 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 10 |
| 9 |
Aalesund
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Ham-Kam
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Bryne
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Kongsvinger
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 7 |
| 14 |
Molde
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 7 |
| 15 |
Egersund
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 16 |
Sogndal
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 17 |
Mjondalen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 18 |
Ranheim
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 19 |
Haugesund
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 6 |
| 20 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 6 |
| 21 |
Alta
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 6 |
| 22 |
Tromso
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 6 |
| 24 |
Sandefjord
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 25 |
Strommen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 26 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 27 |
Moss
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 28 |
Lyn
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 29 |
Rana
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 30 |
Os
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 31 |
Pors Grenland
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 32 |
Stromsgodset
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 33 |
Træff
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 34 |
Grorud
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 35 |
Levanger
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 3 |
| 36 |
Eidsvold
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 37 |
Follo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 38 |
Raufoss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 39 |
Jerv
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 40 |
Start
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Lysekloster
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Lørenskog
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Vidar
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Torvastad
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Skeid
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 46 |
Bjarg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
Skjervøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Nardo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 50 |
Fram
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 51 |
Sotra
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 52 |
Flekkerøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
Sandviken
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 54 |
Strindheim
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 55 |
Kjelsås
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 56 |
Elverum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 57 |
Junkeren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 58 |
Flint
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 59 |
Sortland
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 60 |
Bærum
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 61 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Asker
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 63 |
Brattvåg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 64 |
Arendal
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 65 |
Valerenga
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 66 |
Ull/Kisa
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 67 |
hodd
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 68 |
Ørn Horten
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 69 |
IF Ready
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 70 |
Gamle Oslo
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 71 |
Odd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Djerv
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Harstad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
Råde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Fløya
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Volda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Trygg/Lade
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Hønefoss
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Oppsal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Melbo IL
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
Kvik Trondheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 82 |
Byåsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Fana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
Sverresborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
Våg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
Kvik Halden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
Frigg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Brodd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
Fjøra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
NHHI
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
Spjelkavik
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
Sandnes ULF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
Gneist
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 95 |
Lillehammer
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 96 |
Vard
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 97 |
Ullern
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 98 |
Brumunddal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 99 |
Eik-Tønsberg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 100 |
Åssiden IF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 101 |
Notodden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 102 |
Vindbjart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 103 |
Union Carl Berner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 104 |
Rollon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 105 |
Ulfstind
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 106 |
Melhus
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 107 |
Askøy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 108 |
SF Grei
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 109 |
Sprint-Jeløy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 110 |
Mosjøen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 111 |
Sarpsborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 112 |
Varhaug
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 113 |
Bjørkelangen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 114 |
Skjetten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 115 |
Skedsmo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 116 |
Konnerud
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 117 |
Teie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 118 |
Eiger
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 119 |
Varegg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 120 |
Hana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 121 |
Elnesvågen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 122 |
Verdal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 123 |
Innstranden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 124 |
Rindal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 125 |
Hamna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 126 |
Bjørnevatn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
| 127 |
Nord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
| 128 |
Ridabu
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Nielsen Mads
Andresen Aleksander
Spiten-Nysaeter Oskar
Flex Frederik
Olsen Marius
Ulvestad Dan
Igor Wilfred
Alte Ruben
Haugen Haakon
Isah Mustapha
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Stabaek
Stabaek
Egersund
Aalesund
Stabaek
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
Stabaek
Christian Moen · 25 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.