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Eliteserien

Referee: S Moen

Valerenga

T U S U S

0–2

Full-time

Kristiansund

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 31/1 matches

Win Ø 13%

26%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

58%

Both score Ø 33%

65%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,0

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 0,48

48% Possession 52%

21 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	30	22	4	4	+40	+21.1	70
2	Brann	30	19	4	7	+20	+6.0	61
3	Tromso	30	19	4	7	+15	+11.0	61
4	Viking	30	18	4	8	+13	+6.8	58
5	Molde	30	15	6	9	+26	+13.9	51
6	Lillestrom	30	13	4	13	+0	+6.7	43
7	Stromsgodset	30	13	3	14	+2	-2.4	42
8	Sarpsborg 08	30	12	5	13	+3	+2.4	41
9	Rosenborg	30	11	6	13	-4	-6.4	39
10	Odd	30	10	8	12	-2	-4.8	38
11	Ham-Kam	30	10	4	16	-20	-18.6	34
12	Haugesund	30	9	6	15	-6	-5.3	33
13	Valerenga	31	8	8	15	-9	-1.0	32
14	Sandefjord	30	8	7	15	-8	-12.2	31
15	Stabaek	30	7	8	15	-18	-8.0	29
16	Aalesund	30	5	3	22	-50	-8.8	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	12	2	1	+23	+12.2	38
2	Brann	15	12	2	1	+20	+3.9	38
3	Viking	15	10	2	3	+11	+3.8	32
4	Molde	15	9	3	3	+21	+9.0	30
5	Tromso	15	9	2	4	+8	+9.0	29
6	Lillestrom	15	9	1	5	+11	+6.4	28
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	8	2	5	+11	+3.4	26
8	Stromsgodset	15	8	1	6	+7	+2.3	25
9	Odd	15	7	4	4	+7	+3.4	25
10	Rosenborg	15	7	3	5	+4	+2.8	24
11	Sandefjord	15	6	5	4	+9	-6.4	23
12	Haugesund	15	7	2	6	+4	-4.4	23
13	Stabaek	15	6	3	6	+1	-4.2	21
14	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	-1	-8.6	21
15	Aalesund	15	4	3	8	-14	+2.7	15
16	Valerenga	15	2	4	9	-10	+3.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	2	3	+17	+8.9	32
2	Tromso	15	10	2	3	+7	+2.0	32
3	Viking	15	8	2	5	+2	+3.0	26
4	Brann	15	7	2	6	+0	+2.0	23
5	Valerenga	16	6	4	6	+1	-4.4	22
6	Molde	15	6	3	6	+5	+4.9	21
7	Stromsgodset	15	5	2	8	-5	-4.8	17
8	Rosenborg	15	4	3	8	-8	-9.2	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	15	4	3	8	-8	-1.1	15
10	Lillestrom	15	4	3	8	-11	+0.3	15
11	Odd	15	3	4	8	-9	-8.2	13
12	Ham-Kam	15	4	1	10	-19	-10.0	13
13	Haugesund	15	2	4	9	-10	-0.9	10
14	Sandefjord	15	2	2	11	-17	-5.8	8
15	Stabaek	15	1	5	9	-19	-3.8	8
16	Aalesund	15	1	0	14	-36	-11.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.