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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Stabaek

U U U T S

1–1

Full-time

Valerenga

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 41%

31%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 56%

46%

65%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 9. · Valerenga 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	27	23	3	1	+61	72
2	Molde	26	17	2	7	+34	53
3	Valerenga	26	13	8	5	+13	47
4	Rosenborg	26	13	6	7	+13	45
5	Kristiansund	27	11	11	5	+13	44
6	Odd	25	13	3	9	+8	42
7	Viking	27	12	6	9	+5	42
8	Haugesund	27	10	5	12	-10	35
9	Stabaek	26	8	10	8	-5	34
10	Brann	27	8	7	12	-10	31
11	Sandefjord	26	9	4	13	-12	31
12	Sarpsborg 08	27	8	6	13	-5	30
13	Start	27	6	8	13	-18	26
14	Stromsgodset	26	5	9	12	-17	24
15	Mjondalen	27	6	3	18	-22	21
16	Aalesund	27	2	5	20	-48	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	13	0	0	+42	39
2	Molde	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Valerenga	13	8	5	0	+15	29
4	Rosenborg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Odd	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Viking	14	7	3	4	+12	24
7	Kristiansund	13	6	4	3	+9	22
8	Haugesund	14	6	3	5	+0	21
9	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Start	14	5	5	4	+2	20
11	Stabaek	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Stromsgodset	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Brann	13	3	4	6	+0	13
14	Sandefjord	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Mjondalen	13	4	0	9	-6	12
16	Aalesund	14	1	3	10	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+19	33
2	Molde	13	7	1	5	+11	22
3	Kristiansund	14	5	7	2	+4	22
4	Rosenborg	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Valerenga	13	5	3	5	-2	18
6	Sandefjord	14	6	0	8	-5	18
7	Viking	13	5	3	5	-7	18
8	Brann	14	5	3	6	-10	18
9	Odd	12	5	1	6	-3	16
10	Stabaek	13	3	6	4	-7	15
11	Haugesund	13	4	2	7	-10	14
12	Stromsgodset	13	2	4	7	-11	10
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Mjondalen	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Start	13	1	3	9	-20	6
16	Aalesund	13	1	2	10	-28	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.