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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

Atromitos

U T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 28%

26%

29%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

48%

42%

Both score Ø 41%

48%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,96 xG 1,21

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 20

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atromitos 10. · Panetolikos 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	24	17	5	2	+29	+5.1	56
2	Olympiakos	24	16	6	2	+31	+4.3	54
3	PAOK	23	15	6	2	+30	+2.8	51
4	Levadeiakos	24	11	8	5	+20	-3.9	41
5	Panathinaikos	22	10	7	5	+9	+1.2	37
6	OFI Crete	23	10	1	12	-4	-2.7	31
7	Aris Thessalonikis	22	6	10	6	-3	-1.5	28
8	Aris	22	6	10	6	-3	–	28
9	Volos NFC	24	8	3	13	-13	+1.3	27
10	Atromitos	23	6	6	11	-5	+0.8	24
11	Panetolikos	24	7	3	14	-13	-2.5	24
12	Larisa	25	5	9	11	-16	-1.2	24
13	Kifisia	23	4	10	9	-7	+0.6	22
14	Asteras Tripolis	24	3	8	13	-16	-0.2	17
15	Panserraikos	23	3	4	16	-39	-3.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	12	10	2	0	+21	+0.6	32
2	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	+2.2	31
3	AEK	12	10	1	1	+17	+2.3	31
4	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
5	Panathinaikos	10	6	3	1	+10	+0.2	21
6	OFI Crete	13	7	0	6	+9	-1.0	21
7	Volos NFC	11	4	3	4	-4	+1.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	2	8	1	+1	+0.1	14
9	Aris	11	2	8	1	+1	–	14
10	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-8	-0.5	14
11	Asteras Tripolis	12	2	5	5	-2	+0.1	11
12	Kifisia	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.6	10
13	Panserraikos	11	3	1	7	-15	-3.0	10
14	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9
15	Atromitos	12	1	4	7	-6	+0.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	+2.7	25
2	Olympiakos	12	6	5	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	PAOK	11	5	4	2	+9	+2.2	19
4	Levadeiakos	12	4	5	3	+1	-1.9	17
5	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+1	-0.1	17
6	Panathinaikos	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.9	16
7	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.9	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.6	14
9	Aris	11	4	2	5	-4	–	14
10	Kifisia	12	2	6	4	-5	-1.0	12
11	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
12	Larisa	12	2	4	6	-8	-0.7	10
13	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	3	8	-14	-0.4	6
15	Panserraikos	12	0	3	9	-24	-0.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.