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Serie B

Referee: F La Penna

Ternana

T T S S U

0–3

Full-time

Bari

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 25%

28%

21%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

46%

36%

Both score Ø 59%

56%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ternana 15. · Bari 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	38	21	13	4	+31	76
2	Venezia	39	22	7	10	+24	73
3	Como	38	21	10	7	+18	73
4	Cremonese	39	19	11	9	+18	68
5	Catanzaro	40	18	10	12	+11	64
6	Palermo	40	16	11	13	+10	59
7	Sampdoria	39	16	9	14	+1	57
8	Brescia	39	12	15	12	+2	51
9	Cosenza	38	11	14	13	+5	47
10	Sudtirol	38	12	11	15	-2	47
11	Modena	38	10	17	11	-6	47
12	Reggiana	38	10	17	11	-7	47
13	Pisa	38	11	13	14	-3	46
14	Cittadella	38	11	13	14	-7	46
15	Ternana	39	11	11	17	-7	44
16	Spezia	38	9	17	12	-13	44
17	Bari	39	8	18	13	-11	42
18	Ascoli	38	9	14	15	-4	41
19	FeralpiSalo	38	8	9	21	-21	33
20	Lecco	38	6	8	24	-39	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	19	13	3	3	+16	42
2	Como	19	12	5	2	+13	41
3	Parma	19	11	7	1	+17	40
4	Catanzaro	21	10	5	6	+8	35
5	Cremonese	19	9	5	5	+11	32
6	Palermo	21	9	4	8	+7	31
7	Brescia	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Bari	20	6	10	4	+2	28
9	Cittadella	19	7	6	6	+3	27
10	Pisa	19	6	8	5	+3	26
11	Sudtirol	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Spezia	19	6	8	5	+1	26
13	Sampdoria	19	7	4	8	+0	25
14	Modena	19	6	6	7	-2	24
15	Ascoli	19	5	8	6	+3	23
16	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	+4	22
17	Ternana	19	5	7	7	+0	22
18	Reggiana	19	3	11	5	-8	20
19	FeralpiSalo	19	3	5	11	-9	14
20	Lecco	19	4	2	13	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	19	10	6	3	+14	36
2	Cremonese	20	10	6	4	+7	36
3	Como	19	9	5	5	+5	32
4	Sampdoria	20	9	5	6	+1	32
5	Venezia	20	9	4	7	+8	31
6	Catanzaro	19	8	5	6	+3	29
7	Palermo	19	7	7	5	+3	28
8	Reggiana	19	7	6	6	+1	27
9	Cosenza	19	6	7	6	+1	25
10	Modena	19	4	11	4	-4	23
11	Brescia	20	5	7	8	-5	22
12	Ternana	20	6	4	10	-7	22
13	Sudtirol	19	5	6	8	-4	21
14	Pisa	19	5	5	9	-6	20
15	Cittadella	19	4	7	8	-10	19
16	FeralpiSalo	19	5	4	10	-12	19
17	Ascoli	19	4	6	9	-7	18
18	Spezia	19	3	9	7	-14	18
19	Bari	19	2	8	9	-13	14
20	Lecco	19	2	6	11	-24	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.