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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Sirius

T T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Degerfors

S S T T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

70%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

75%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,86 xG 1,71

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Degerfors 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	+21	+10.6	45
2	Djurgarden	21	13	2	6	+27	+4.7	41
3	Hammarby	21	12	4	5	+28	+20.8	40
4	Elfsborg	21	9	7	5	+8	+0.2	34
5	Malmo FF	21	10	3	8	+6	+3.9	33
6	Hacken	21	8	9	4	+4	+9.1	33
7	AIK	20	9	5	6	-2	-13.9	32
8	Vasteras SK	21	9	5	7	-3	-1.3	32
9	Goteborg	21	8	5	8	-11	+2.1	29
10	GAIS	21	7	6	8	+5	+4.6	27
11	Brommapojkarna	21	7	6	8	-5	-6.3	27
12	Mjallby	20	5	6	9	-8	+0.7	21
13	Kalmar	21	5	4	12	-10	+0.6	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	-12	-10.4	19
15	Orgryte	21	3	6	12	-23	-11.2	15
16	Halmstad	21	2	5	14	-25	-13.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	11	9	1	1	+28	+12.0	28
2	Elfsborg	11	6	3	2	+8	-0.2	21
3	Sirius	10	6	2	2	+8	+6.1	20
4	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	+17	+3.8	19
5	GAIS	11	5	4	2	+12	+4.5	19
6	Goteborg	11	5	3	3	+2	+5.3	18
7	Kalmar	10	5	2	3	+2	-1.3	17
8	Hacken	11	4	5	2	+0	+6.4	17
9	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	+3	-2.8	15
10	Malmo FF	11	4	1	6	+4	+5.3	13
11	Vasteras SK	10	3	4	3	+2	+1.4	13
12	AIK	9	4	0	5	-7	-3.8	12
13	Degerfors	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.7	11
14	Mjallby	10	3	1	6	-4	+1.5	10
15	Orgryte	10	1	6	3	-2	-0.9	9
16	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	10	8	1	1	+13	+4.5	25
2	Djurgarden	10	7	1	2	+10	+0.9	22
3	AIK	11	5	5	1	+5	-10.1	20
4	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+2	-1.5	20
5	Vasteras SK	11	6	1	4	-5	-2.7	19
6	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.7	16
7	Elfsborg	10	3	4	3	+0	+0.4	13
8	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	+0	+8.7	12
9	Brommapojkarna	11	3	3	5	-8	-3.5	12
10	Mjallby	10	2	5	3	-4	-0.8	11
11	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-13	-3.2	11
12	GAIS	10	2	2	6	-7	+0.1	8
13	Degerfors	10	2	2	6	-9	-4.7	8
14	Orgryte	11	2	0	9	-21	-10.3	6
15	Halmstad	11	0	3	8	-15	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	11	0	2	9	-12	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.