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Serie A

Referee: Luca Pairetto

Inter

U S S S T

5–3

Full-time

Udinese

S U S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Udinese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

3,11 xG 0,90

66% Possession 34%

27 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 5

11 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 4. · Udinese 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+11	+6.5	12
2	Como	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.0	10
3	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.0	10
4	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.0	9
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.2	7
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.6	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	-4.8	6
13	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.6	3
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.9	3
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-3	+0.5	1
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.5	1
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	-5	+2.6	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.5	1
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.2	4
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
8	Como	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-4.3	3
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.3	1
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.8	6
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
5	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.1	5
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.9	4
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
9	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
10	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
12	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.1	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.9	1
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -26 Udinese – Inter 0–1 31. Aug -25 Inter – Udinese 1–2 30. Mar -25 Inter – Udinese 2–1 19. Dec -24 Inter – Udinese 2–0 28. Sep -24 Udinese – Inter 2–3

Match report

Inter Udinese

9′

⚽ J. Abankwah 0–1

U. Gomez

16′

⚽ J. Ekkelenkamp 0–2

K. Davis

1–2 Carlos Augusto ⚽

26′

2–2 N. Barella ⚽

M. Thuram

35′

45′

🟨 K. Davis

Half-time 3–2

3–2 M. Thuram ⚽

A. Diouf

57′

H. Mkhitaryan 🟨

60′

61′

🔁 I. Gueye

↦ U. Gomez

B. Pavard 🔁

↦ J. Stones

62′

C. Jones 🔁

↦ H. Mkhitaryan

62′

4–2 F. Esposito ⚽

P. Zielinski

67′

A. Bonny 🔁

↦ M. Thuram

70′

F. Dimarco 🔁

↦ A. Bastoni

70′

73′

🔁 G. Chakvetadze

↦ L. Miller

74′

🔁 N. Bertola

↦ M. Vojvoda

5–2 A. Bonny ⚽

79′

80′

🔁 V. Bayo

↦ K. Davis

80′

🔁 S. Lovric

↦ J. Ekkelenkamp

A. Stankovic 🔁

↦ P. Zielinski

82′

90′

⚽ I. Gueye 5–3

V. Bayo

Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2

Josep Martínez G

John Stones D

Manuel Akanji D

Alessandro Bastoni D

Andy Diouf M

Nicolò Barella M

Piotr Zieliński M

Henrikh Mkhitaryan M

Carlos Augusto M

Marcus Thuram F

Pio Esposito F

Bench (12)

49 Ivan Provedel

12 Raffaele Di Gennaro

31 Yann Bisseck

28 Benjamin Pavard

8 Petar Sučić

5 Aleksandar Stanković

11 Luís Henrique

21 Curtis Jones

32 Federico Dimarco

10 Lautaro Martínez

48 Mattia Mosconi

14 Ange-Yoan Bonny

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Udinese

3-4-2-1

Maduka Okoye G

James Abankwah D

Christian Kabasele D

Enzo Ebosse D

Mërgim Vojvoda M

Jesper Karlström M

Lennon Miller M

Hassane Kamara M

Unai Gómez F

Jürgen Ekkelenkamp F

Keinan Davis F

Bench (10)

93 Daniele Padelli

41 Bartosz Mrozek

13 Nicolò Bertola

91 Lazar Jovanović

6 Oier Zarraga

30 Giorgi Chakvetadze

4 Sandi Lovrić

45 Giulio Vinciati

7 Idrissa Gueye

15 Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Coach: Kosta Runjaic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,25

🔒

1xBet 1,24 Betano 1,24 SBO 1,22 Pinnacle 1,22 Marathonbet 1,22 Bet365 1,20 William Hill 1,20 Betfair 1,18 BetVictor 1,18

5,85

🔒

1xBet 7,11 Pinnacle 7,06 BetVictor 7,00 Marathonbet 7,00 Bet365 6,50 Betano 6,50 Betfair 6,50 William Hill 6,00 SBO 5,32

11,15

🔒

Betano 15,50 Bet365 15,00 BetVictor 15,00 1xBet 14,40 Marathonbet 14,25 Betfair 14,00 Pinnacle 13,63 William Hill 12,00 SBO 8,49

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,09

🔒

U1,5

6,00

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,53

🔒

U2,5

2,42

🔒

O3,5 ✓

2,05

🔒

U3,5

1,80

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,91

🔒

BLS nei

1,80

🔒

Recent matches

5. Sep SA 2 weeks ago

30. Aug SA 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SA 4 weeks ago

23. May SA 3 months ago

Referee

Luca Pairetto · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

25,3 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Inter

Udinese

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee