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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Sirius

S S S U T

0–3

Full-time

Hacken

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Hacken

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 59%

76%

41%

Points per game

2,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

82%

53%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

65%

Average goals

4,1

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,64 xG 1,54

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Hacken 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	17	13	3	1	+24	+11.5	42
2	Hammarby	17	10	3	4	+25	+16.4	33
3	Hacken	17	7	7	3	+3	+8.3	28
4	AIK	17	8	4	5	+0	-10.9	28
5	Elfsborg	17	7	6	4	+6	-1.1	27
6	Djurgarden	16	8	2	6	+15	+5.8	26
7	Malmo FF	17	8	2	7	+5	+3.1	26
8	Vasteras SK	17	7	4	6	-7	-1.2	25
9	GAIS	17	6	5	6	+5	+4.7	23
10	Brommapojkarna	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.4	21
11	Mjallby	16	5	5	6	+1	+1.7	20
12	Goteborg	17	5	4	8	-16	+0.0	19
13	Kalmar	17	5	3	9	-7	-1.3	18
14	Degerfors	17	4	4	9	-10	-8.2	16
15	Orgryte	17	3	4	10	-19	-10.2	13
16	Halmstad	17	1	4	12	-23	-13.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+24	+10.0	22
2	Sirius	8	6	2	0	+12	+7.1	20
3	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+3	-2.5	17
4	Hacken	9	4	4	1	+2	+6.5	16
5	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
6	Elfsborg	9	4	3	2	+5	-1.5	15
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+11	+3.8	13
8	Vasteras SK	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.6	12
9	Goteborg	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.2	11
10	Mjallby	8	3	1	4	+1	+2.6	10
11	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
12	Brommapojkarna	8	2	3	3	+0	-3.8	9
13	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
14	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.7	8
15	Orgryte	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.9	7
16	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-11	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	7	1	1	+12	+4.5	22
2	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
3	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.5	17
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.1	13
5	Vasteras SK	9	4	1	4	-10	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.8	12
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+1	+0.4	12
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Hammarby	8	3	2	3	+1	+6.4	11
10	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
11	GAIS	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.1	8
12	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.5	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	9	2	0	7	-17	-9.3	6
15	Halmstad	8	0	2	6	-12	-7.5	2
16	Kalmar	8	0	1	7	-10	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.