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Ligue 2

Referee: A Taleb

Pau FC

S U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Dunkerque

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

35%

59%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

35%

59%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

8 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 8. · Dunkerque 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	17	10	3	4	+13	33
2	Dunkerque	17	10	2	5	+5	32
3	Paris FC	17	9	4	4	+10	31
4	Metz	17	8	6	3	+11	30
5	Annecy	17	8	6	3	+6	30
6	Laval	17	8	4	5	+10	28
7	Guingamp	17	8	2	7	+4	26
8	Pau FC	17	6	5	6	-1	23
9	Amiens	17	7	2	8	-4	23
10	Bastia	17	4	10	3	+1	22
11	Grenoble	17	6	3	8	-1	21
12	Troyes	17	6	3	8	-1	21
13	Red Star	17	6	3	8	-10	21
14	Rodez	17	5	5	7	+1	20
15	Clermont	17	5	5	7	-4	20
16	Caen	17	4	3	10	-7	15
17	Ajaccio	17	4	3	10	-8	15
18	Martigues	17	3	3	11	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Metz	9	5	4	0	+11	19
4	Annecy	8	6	1	1	+9	19
5	Guingamp	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Pau FC	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Laval	8	4	2	2	+4	14
10	Bastia	8	3	5	0	+4	14
11	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+3	14
12	Ajaccio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Caen	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Red Star	8	3	2	3	-4	11
16	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
17	Rodez	8	3	1	4	-1	10
18	Martigues	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Metz	8	3	2	3	+0	11
4	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-3	11
5	Martigues	8	3	2	3	-9	11
6	Rodez	9	2	4	3	+2	10
7	Troyes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
8	Clermont	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Red Star	9	3	1	5	-6	10
10	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Guingamp	8	3	0	5	-7	9
12	Bastia	9	1	5	3	-3	8
13	Dunkerque	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Caen	8	1	1	6	-6	4
17	Grenoble	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	8	0	1	7	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.