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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
West Brom
S U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Sunderland
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 40/42 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,28 xG 0,41
50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Sunderland 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 42 28 4 10 +41 +34.2 88
2 Ipswich 42 26 10 6 +32 +24.0 88
3 Leeds 41 24 9 8 +40 +35.8 81
4 West Brom 40 20 12 8 +28 +7.8 72
5 Southampton 38 21 9 8 +23 +28.5 72
6 Norwich 40 20 8 12 +17 +0.2 68
7 Coventry 41 17 12 12 +17 +11.9 63
8 Preston 41 18 9 14 +0 -10.1 63
9 Middlesbrough 42 18 8 16 +5 +13.2 62
10 Hull 41 17 11 13 +5 +5.1 62
11 Cardiff 42 18 5 19 -10 -23.5 59
12 Bristol City 42 16 9 17 +4 -0.7 57
13 Sunderland 42 15 8 19 +1 +7.0 53
14 Watford 42 12 16 14 +2 +0.5 52
15 Swansea 42 13 11 18 -10 -8.1 50
16 Blackburn 43 13 10 20 -14 -8.7 49
17 Plymouth 43 12 12 19 -8 -19.5 48
18 QPR 42 12 11 19 -14 -5.7 47
19 Millwall 42 12 11 19 -15 -11.8 47
20 Stoke 42 12 10 20 -19 -3.8 46
21 Huddersfield 42 9 16 17 -23 -12.2 43
22 Sheffield Weds 42 12 7 23 -31 -10.1 43
23 Birmingham 42 11 9 22 -19 -9.4 42
24 Rotherham 42 4 11 27 -52 -44.6 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Sunderland
31′
🟨 Trai Hume
Brandon Thomas-Asante 🟨
42′
Brandon Thomas-Asante 🟨
43′
Brandon Thomas-Asante 🟥
43′
Half-time 0–0
S. Ajayi 🔁
↦ K. Bartley
46′
A. Reach 🔁
↦ N. Chalobah
46′
47′
P. Ekwah 0–1
C. Styles
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
61′
J. Swift 🔁
↦ M. Johnston
62′
Darnell Furlong 🟨
63′
M. Phillips 🔁
↦ C. Townsend
67′
Jed Wallace 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 A. Alese
↦ T. Pembélé
71′
🔁 P. Roberts
↦ C. Rigg
80′
🟨 Ajibola-Joshua Alese
85′
🟨 Callum Styles
Cédric Kipré 🟨
86′
93′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ J. Clarke
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
24 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
5 K. Bartley D
4 C. Kipré D
3 C. Townsend D
14 N. Chalobah M
27 A. Mowatt M
31 T. Fellows M
11 G. Diangana M
23 M. Johnston M
21 B. Thomas-Asante F
Bench (9)
6 S. Ajayi
20 A. Reach
7 J. Wallace
19 J. Swift
10 M. Phillips
33 J. Griffiths
22 Y. M'Vila
17 A. Weimann
35 O. Yokuşlu

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Sunderland

3-4-3
1 A. Patterson G
32 T. Hume D
5 D. Ballard D
13 L. O'Nien D
6 T. Pembélé M
39 P. Ekwah M
24 D. Neil M
28 C. Styles M
31 C. Rigg F
7 J. Bellingham F
20 J. Clarke F
Bench (9)
42 A. Alese
10 P. Roberts
17 A. Ba
46 B. Dack
14 R. Mundle
9 Luís Semedo
11 M. Burstow
30 N. Bishop
22 A. Aouchiche

Coach: M. Dodds

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,60
B ✓
4,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.