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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Pogon Szczecin

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Puszcza

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 1,40

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 6. · Puszcza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	12	9	1	2	+16	+7.7	28
2	Rakow	12	8	2	2	+12	+9.3	26
3	Jagiellonia	12	8	1	3	+3	-1.4	25
4	Cracovia	12	7	2	3	+5	+0.3	23
5	Legia	12	5	4	3	+8	+7.8	19
6	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	1	5	+3	+3.5	19
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	4	3	+2	-1.1	19
8	Piast Gliwice	13	5	4	4	+2	+0.2	19
9	GKS Katowice	12	4	4	4	+5	+1.5	16
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	+1	+2.1	15
11	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-4	-4.0	15
12	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	-3.4	14
13	Radomiak Radom	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.3	12
14	Korona Kielce	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.0	12
15	Stal Mielec	12	3	2	7	-6	+0.7	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.7	10
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	5	5	-7	-0.3	8
18	Puszcza	12	1	5	6	-11	-8.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	6	6	0	0	+10	+6.9	18
2	Lech Poznan	6	5	0	1	+11	+7.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	6	4	1	1	+4	+3.3	13
4	Legia	6	3	1	2	+6	+5.9	10
5	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+5	+4.8	10
6	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	1	2	+4	+4.1	10
7	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
8	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+1	+4.7	10
9	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	+0	-0.3	10
10	Radomiak Radom	6	3	0	3	+3	+3.5	9
11	Piast Gliwice	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.0	9
12	GKS Katowice	7	2	3	2	+2	-2.0	9
13	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-2	+1.4	8
14	Motor Lublin	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.6	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	3	1	-1	+1.7	6
16	Korona Kielce	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
17	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	-4	-3.6	6
18	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-4	-5.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+7	+4.5	16
2	Cracovia	6	5	0	1	+7	-1.1	15
3	Lech Poznan	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.6	13
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	-1	-4.7	12
5	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.2	10
6	Legia	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.9	9
7	Widzew Lodz	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.3	9
8	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.5	7
9	Motor Lublin	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.5	7
10	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-6	-4.7	6
11	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.0	5
12	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	2	4	-6	-3.8	5
13	Zaglebie	6	1	1	4	-8	-3.1	4
14	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
15	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	2	4	-6	-2.0	2
16	Puszcza	6	0	2	4	-7	-4.8	2
17	Stal Mielec	6	0	1	5	-7	-4.1	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	6	0	1	5	-7	-3.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.