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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Moreirense
T S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 0,72
38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Moreirense Porto
22′
🟨 João Mário
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Toni Martínez
↦ João Mário
1–0 G. Frimpong
Alan
51′
56′
🔁 Romário Baró
↦ M. Grujić
Lawrence Ofori 🟨
62′
67′
Toni Martínez 1–1
Fábio Cardoso
68′
🟨 Wenderson Galeno
70′
🔁 Nico González
↦ Romário Baró
72′
🟨 Toni Martínez
74′
Wendell 1–2
Pedro Aparício 🔁
↦ K. Kodisang
75′
Madson 🔁
↦ Alan
75′
Dinis Pinto 🟨
76′
78′
🟨 Wendell
Rodrigo Macedo 🔁
↦ L. Ofori
90′
Fabiano 🔁
↦ Dinis Pinto
90′
Pedro Amador 🔁
↦ G. Frimpong
90′
90′
🔁 André Franco
↦ M. Taremi
92′
🟨 Wendell
92′
🟥 Wendell
Fabiano Silva 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Nicolás González
Gonçalo Franco 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Otávio
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-2-3-1
40 Kewin G
76 Dinis Pinto D
44 Marcelo D
26 Maracás D
23 G. Frimpong D
88 Gonçalo Franco M
80 L. Ofori M
21 K. Kodisang M
11 Alan M
19 João Camacho M
9 André Luís F
Bench (9)
10 Pedro Aparício
31 Madson
90 Rodrigo Macedo
2 Fabiano
18 Pedro Amador
22 Caio Secco
77 M. Manga
4 Rafael Santos
6 Rúben Ismael

Coach: Rui Borges

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
2 Fábio Cardoso D
5 Iván Marcano D
18 Wendell D
6 S. Eustaquio M
8 M. Grujić M
25 Otávio M
11 Pepê M
13 Galeno M
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (9)
29 Toni Martínez
28 Romário Baró
16 Nico González
20 André Franco
4 David Carmo
14 Cláudio Ramos
70 Gonçalo Borges
19 D. Namaso
12 Z. Sanusi

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,11
U
5,05
B ✓
1,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.