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FA Cup

Larkhall Athletic

S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Corsham Town

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larkhall Athletic Corsham Town

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dereham Town	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Woodford Town	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Skelmersdale United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Leicester Road	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Studley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Stansted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Newmarket Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Whickham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moneyfields	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Bishop's Cleeve	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Thornbury Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Edgware Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Waltham Abbey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sittingbourne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Jersey Bulls	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bugbrooke St Michaels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Coventry United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Stotfold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Thetford Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Carlisle City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Westbury United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Northwich Victoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Walsham Le Willows	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Hertford Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dereham Town	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Woodford Town	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Skelmersdale United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stansted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Whickham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Moneyfields	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bishop's Cleeve	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Edgware Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sittingbourne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bugbrooke St Michaels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Coventry United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Thetford Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester Road	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Studley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Newmarket Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Thornbury Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Waltham Abbey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Jersey Bulls	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Stotfold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Carlisle City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Westbury United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Northwich Victoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Walsham Le Willows	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Hertford Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.