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FA Cup
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hollands & Blair Ashford United
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dereham Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Woodford Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Skelmersdale United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Leicester Road 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Studley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Stansted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Newmarket Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Whickham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Moneyfields 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Bishop's Cleeve 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Thornbury Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Edgware Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Waltham Abbey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sittingbourne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Jersey Bulls 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bugbrooke St Michaels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Coventry United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Stotfold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Thetford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Carlisle City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Westbury United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Northwich Victoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Walsham Le Willows 1 0 0 1 -3 0
24 Hertford Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.