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Champions League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Rakow
S U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Qarabag
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rakow Qarabag
Marcin Cebula 🟨
11′
35′
🟨 Yassine Benzia
Half-time 0–1
0–1 E. Cəfərquliyev
own goal
55′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
65′
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
65′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ B. Lederman
66′
70′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ Y. Benzia
70′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ M. Janković
71′
🔁 M. Medvedev
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
1–1 F. Piasecki
S. Svarnas
71′
73′
R. Xhixha 1–2
T. Bayramov
75′
R. Xhixha 1–3
H. Keyta
78′
🟨 Redon Xhixha
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
81′
83′
🔁 R. Almeyda
↦ Leandro Andrade
83′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ R. Xhixha
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
84′
2–3 S. Kittel
D. Sorescu
91′
98′
🟨 Richard Almeida
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
8 B. Lederman M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
20 Jean Carlos M
30 V. Kochergin F
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
77 M. Cebula F
Bench (9)
99 F. Piasecki
11 J. Yeboah
5 G. Berggren
93 S. Kittel
22 D. Sorescu
6 S. Czyż
89 K. Bieszczad
17 M. Wdowiak
27 B. Nowak

Coach: D. Szwarga

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
27 T. Bayramov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (11)
17 H. Keyta
66 Patrick Andrade
5 M. Medvedev
20 R. Almeyda
90 N. Axundzadə
11 A. Diakhaby
89 A. Ramazanov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
55 B. Hüseynov
4 R. Məmmədov
83 N. Quliyev

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.