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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
Sirius
U S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Norrkoping
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
2,7
3,7
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 13. · Norrkoping 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 4 4 0 0 +14 12
2 Malmo FF 4 3 1 0 +12 10
3 Brommapojkarna 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Halmstad 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 AIK 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
7 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Goteborg 4 3 0 1 +1 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Degerfors 4 2 2 0 +8 8
12 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +10 7
13 Sirius 3 2 1 0 +8 7
14 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
16 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
18 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
19 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
20 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +3 6
21 Hammarby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Vasteras SK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
24 United Nordic 5 2 0 3 -1 6
25 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
26 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
27 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
29 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
30 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
31 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
32 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
40 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 IK brage 3 0 3 0 +0 3
45 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sundsvall 3 1 0 2 -1 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -4 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.