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Superligaen
Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen
Brondby
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
69%
52%
Both score Ø 63%
66%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 4. · Nordsjaelland 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 29 18 4 7 +28 +16.8 58
2 Midtjylland 29 18 4 7 +18 +13.2 58
3 Nordsjaelland 29 16 8 5 +27 +4.5 56
4 Brondby 29 16 8 5 +23 +6.7 56
5 Aarhus 29 9 11 9 -5 +3.6 38
6 Randers FC 30 9 11 10 -7 +0.6 38
7 Viborg 30 10 7 13 -9 -3.7 37
8 Vejle 30 8 9 13 -5 -18.7 33
9 Silkeborg 29 9 5 15 -10 +6.9 32
10 Lyngby 30 8 8 14 -16 -5.8 32
11 Odense 29 6 8 15 -13 -7.4 26
12 Hvidovre IF 29 4 7 18 -31 -16.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Nordsjaelland
1–0 Y. Suzuki
N. Vallys
27′
Nicolai Vallys 🟨
36′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Andreas Schjelderup
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ M. Hansen
46′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ J. Tverskov
66′
🔁 C. Rasmussen
↦ B. Nygren
M. Kvistgaarden 🔁
↦ F. Bundgaard
71′
72′
🟨 Ibrahim Osman
75′
🔁 M. Dorgeles
↦ D. Svensson
84′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ M. Frese
K. Mensah 🔁
↦ S. Sebulonsen
85′
Yuito Suzuki 🟨
87′
O. Omoijuanfo 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
90′
Daniel Wass 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
5 R. Lauritsen D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
22 J. Radošević M
10 D. Wass M
24 M. Divković M
28 Y. Suzuki F
7 N. Vallys F
11 F. Bundgaard F
Bench (9)
36 M. Kvistgaarden
14 K. Mensah
9 O. Omoijuanfo
35 N. Nartey
41 O. Schwartau
3 H. Heggheim
23 C. Cappis
37 C. Bischoff
16 T. Mikkelsen

Coach: J. Sørensen

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
39 A. Nagalo D
4 K. Hansen D
5 M. Frese D
11 M. Hansen M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
9 B. Nygren F
14 I. Osman F
8 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
22 O. Antman
21 Z. Sertdemir
17 C. Rasmussen
29 M. Dorgeles
40 C. Harder
19 L. Hey
43 S. Egeli
25 C. Eriksson
12 R. Ascone

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Kjærsgaard-Andersen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.