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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Vasteras SK

T S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Varnamo

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

25%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

1,8

2,9

Scored

0,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 16. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+8.3	21
2	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+7	+1.2	16
3	Hacken	8	5	1	2	+6	-1.4	16
4	GAIS	8	5	0	3	+0	+0.4	15
5	Mjallby	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.0	14
6	AIK	8	4	2	2	+2	-2.2	14
7	Hammarby	8	4	0	4	+2	+1.0	12
8	Halmstad	8	4	0	4	-5	-3.6	12
9	Brommapojkarna	8	2	4	2	+2	+2.5	10
10	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.0	10
11	Elfsborg	8	3	1	4	-3	+2.5	10
12	Norrkoping	8	3	1	4	-8	-4.1	10
13	Varnamo	8	2	2	4	-7	-4.5	8
14	Goteborg	8	2	1	5	-5	-2.3	7
15	Kalmar	8	2	0	6	-4	-2.9	6
16	Vasteras SK	8	1	0	7	-8	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
2	Djurgarden	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.1	10
3	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
4	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
5	Hacken	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.4	9
6	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+0	-0.1	9
7	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
8	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.8	7
9	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.2	6
11	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
12	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-7	-2.1	1
16	Goteborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	0	1	+10	+7.0	12
2	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
3	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
4	Varnamo	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.4	7
5	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-0.9	4
12	Hammarby	4	1	0	3	-3	–	3
13	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
14	Elfsborg	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.6	3
15	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.